ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
61-93 | Road
3
CLEVELAND
GUARDIANSCLE
79-75 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Mason Barnett
#63 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Daniel Espino
#41 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Barnett | 1-4 | 7.08 | 1.62 | 40.2 | 38 |
| Daniel Espino | 0-0 | 2.92 | 1.22 | 12.1 | 21 |
1-4
W-L
0-0
7.08
ERA
Ldr 2.92
1.62
WHIP
Ldr 1.22
40.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
12.1
38 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
21
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
30%
GUARDIANS
70%
ATHLETICS
34%
Book Odds: +198
GUARDIANS
71%
Book Odds: -244
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 8.0
60%
Under 8.0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CLE -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
CLE By 1-2 runs
19.6%
CLE By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.5
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.20
Cleveland
5.5
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 3.20
Cleveland
3
CLEVELAND
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Guardians
Win
70% Win Prob
A
Sim
Athletics
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Guardians (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Push
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
u8.0
Push
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
ATH @ CLE
0 - 1
Sep 19, 2026
ATH @ CLE
6 - 12
Sep 18, 2026
ATH @ CLE
3 - 5
May 3, 2026
CLE @ ATH
1 - 7
May 2, 2026
CLE @ ATH
14 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Cleveland
CLE
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.19
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.239
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.316
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.380
.719
▲
OPS
.696
194
▲
Home Runs
162
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+140.1% more
Cleveland: 5.0
vs
Athletics: 2.1
Total Bases (L5)
+25.8% more
Cleveland: 13.9
vs
Athletics: 11.0
Home Runs (L5)
+24.0% more
Cleveland: 1.6
vs
Athletics: 1.3
Strikeouts (L5)
+20.1% more
Cleveland: 10.0
vs
Athletics: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.5
3
CLE Score
5.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.3 / 6.4
10.0 / 3.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.3
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.0 / 8.3
9.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.9 / 11.0
17.0 / 6.0
Walks
5.0 / 2.1
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +159 / -193
→
+198 / -244
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
86-79-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
CLE
Advantage
(50.3%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
CLE
80-84-1
O: 48.8% / U: 51.2%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
ATH
CLE
ATH
ML
54%
87-74
59%
95-67
49%
80-82
54%
87-74
ATS
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
55%
88-71-2
54%
84-73-5
43%
69-90-2
42%
66-90-5
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