Home / NFL Projections NFL / Titans @ Giants TEN @ NYG

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

0-3  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sun, Sep 27 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-1  |  Home

12
Key Game
Tommy Townsend
KEY GAME

Tommy Townsend

#3 | Punter
@
Jordan Stout
KEY GAME

Jordan Stout

#15 | Punter
Player
Tommy Townsend None-None
Jordan Stout None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TITANS
38%
📊
GIANTS
62%
▲ Edge: +5.20% (NYG)
TITANS 48% Book Odds: +110
GIANTS 57% Book Odds: -130
Book Implied: 47.60% / 56.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.0
Projected
Book Total
37.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +8.5 (Over)
Over 37.5 74%
Under 37.5 26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-2.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (New York)
TitansTEN (+2.5) 0 GiantsNYG (-2.5)
New York Giants (-2.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Titans Cover

30.9%

Giants Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around NYG -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYG)

TEN By 1-6 points

12.9%

TEN By 7-13 points

9.6%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.5%

NYG By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
19.5
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 17.50
26.5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20
Simulated Score
20
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 17.50
24
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Giants Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim Giants Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Giants (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim Giants (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o37.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.0
A
Sim o37.5 Loss
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 TEN @ NYG 7 - 12
Sep 11, 2022 NYG @ TEN 21 - 20
Dec 16, 2018 TEN @ NYG 17 - 0
Dec 7, 2014 NYG @ TEN 36 - 7
Sep 26, 2010 TEN @ NYG 29 - 10
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +72.0% more
New York: 1.2 vs Tennessee: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +45.3% more
New York: 19.7 vs Tennessee: 13.5
Net Passing Yards (L5) +25.0% more
New York: 195.5 vs Tennessee: 156.4
Total Yards (L5) +21.1% more
New York: 314.3 vs Tennessee: 259.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TEN Score 19.5 7
NYG Score 26.5 12
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.7 / 13.5 16.0 / 17.0
Net Passing Yards 195.5 / 156.4 100.0 / 181.0
Rushing Yards 118.7 / 103.1 138.0 / 81.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.31 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 314.3 / 259.6 238.0 / 262.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.4 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.8 / 5.0 4.1 / 4.6
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +140 / -166 → +110 / -130 ↓
39%TICKETS61%
20%MONEY80%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +3 / -3 → +2.5 / -2.5 ↓
67%TICKETS33%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: 44.5 → 37.5 ↓
72%TICKETS28%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEN
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEN
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
TEN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -5.5
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
TEN
NYG
TEN
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
ATS
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Eagles Receiver Dontayvion Wicks Added to Injury Report with Ham…
sportingnews 44 minutes ago
Steelers' Michael Pittman Jr. Sidelined Multiple Weeks with Foot…
newsweek 6 hours, 34 minutes ago
Gerald McCoy Blasts Jerry Jones for Prioritizing Talent Over Sch…
newsweek 6 hours, 36 minutes ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 6 hours, 38 minutes ago
Commanders Roll Dice: Jayden Daniels to Start vs. Giants Despite…
newsweek 6 hours, 44 minutes ago