Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Howard @ Rutgers HOW @ RUTG

HOWARD

HOWARDHOW

1-3  |  Road

7
FINAL
Fri, Sep 25 • 7:00 PM ET
SHI Stadium
View Odds Details →

RUTGERS

RUTGERSRUTG

1-3  |  Home

58
Key Game
Liam Allen IV
KEY GAME

Liam Allen IV

#40 | Punter
@
Jakob Anderson
KEY GAME

Jakob Anderson

#94 | Punter
Player
Liam Allen IV None-None
Jakob Anderson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
HOWARD
4%
📊
RUTGERS
96%
HOWARD --
RUTGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.5
Projected
Book Total
57.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 (Over)
Over 57.5 60%
Under 57.5 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+34.5
HOWARD
Book Spread
+41.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Howard)
HowardHOW (+41.5) 0 RutgersRUTG (-41.5)
Howard Bison (+41.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Howard Cover

99.3%

Rutgers Cover

0.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HOW +34.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)

HOW By 1-6 points

0.5%

HOW By 7-13 points

0.1%

RUTG By 1-6 points

1.5%

RUTG By 7-13 points

4.4%

AI Model Projected Score
13.5
HOWARD
Book Implied: 8
48
RUTGERS
Book Implied: 49.50
Simulated Score
14
HOWARD
Book Implied: 8
35
RUTGERS
Book Implied: 49.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rutgers Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Rutgers Win
98% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Howard (+41.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +34.5
A
Sim Howard (+41.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +21.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o57.5 Win
Proj Total: 61.5
B
Sim u57.5 Loss
Proj Total: 49.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 25, 2026 HOW @ RUTG 7 - 58
Aug 29, 2024 HOW @ RUTG 7 - 44
Sep 10, 2016 HOW @ RUTG 14 - 52
Sep 6, 2014 HOW @ RUTG 25 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +142.3% more
Rutgers: 407.9 vs Howard: 168.4
First Downs (L5) +122.6% more
Rutgers: 22.3 vs Howard: 10.0
Turnovers (L5) +108.4% more
Rutgers: 2.5 vs Howard: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +71.4% more
Rutgers: 139.7 vs Howard: 81.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOW Score 13.5 7
RUTG Score 48.0 58
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.3 / 10.0 29.0 / 9.0
Rushing Yards 139.7 / 81.5 266.0 / 133.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.58 / 0.27
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.61 / 0.39
Total Yards 407.9 / 168.4 534.0 / 184.0
Turnovers 2.5 / 1.2 0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +3500 / -20000 → -- / --
7%TICKETS93%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +41.5 / -41.5 → +41.5 / -41.5
55%TICKETS45%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: 55.5 → 57.5 ↑
58%TICKETS42%
72%MONEY28%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOW
--
RUTG
0-3-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -12.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOW
--
RUTG Advantage
1-2-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -12.0
⚖️ Over/Under
HOW
--
RUTG
2-1-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RUTG
HOW
RUTG
HOW
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
TTL
75% 3-1
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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