Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Getafe vs Celta Vigo Getafe vs Celta Vigo

GETAFEGETAFE

2-2-3  |  Home

1
FINAL
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:00 PM ET
Estadio Coliseum

CELTA VIGOCELTA VIGO

1-4-2  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
GETAFE
35%
DRAW
31%
CELTA VIGO
35%
▲ Edge: +18.30% (Celta Vigo)
36% Book Odds: +180
DRAW --
32% Book Odds: +215
Book Implied: 35.70% / % / 31.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
1.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 1.5 59%
Under 1.5 41%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
CELTA VIGO
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Celta Vigo)
GetafeGetafe (-0.5) 0 Celta VigoCelta Vigo (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

30.0% / 70.0%

Shots (On Goal)

10(2) / 16(3)

Corners

3 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

2/1 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Celta Vigo 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Celta Vigo)

Getafe By 1 goal

21.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

15.9%

Celta Vigo By 1 goal

21.1%

Celta Vigo By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
1
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 1
0
CELTA VIGO
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
39% Win Prob
C
Sim Getafe Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celta Vigo (-0) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Getafe (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o1.75 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Sim u1.5 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 7, 2026 Getafe vs Celta Vigo 1 - 1
Feb 1, 2026 Getafe vs Celta Vigo 0 - 0
Aug 17, 2025 Celta Vigo vs Getafe 0 - 2
May 24, 2025 Getafe vs Celta Vigo 1 - 2
Nov 4, 2024 Celta Vigo vs Getafe 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +300.0% more
Celta Vigo: 3.0 vs Getafe: 0.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Celta Vigo: 2.0 vs Getafe: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +40.0% more
Celta Vigo: 5.0 vs Getafe: 7.0
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Getafe: 2.0 vs Celta Vigo: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Celta Vigo Score 1.0 1
Getafe Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Getafe (Home) vs Celta Vigo (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Getafe Share: 50.0% Celta Vigo Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Getafe
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Celta Vigo
ML
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
71% 5-2
14% 1-6
ATS
43% 3-4
15% 1-5
57% 4-3
14% 1-6
TTL
57% 4-3
57% 4-3
57% 4-3
43% 3-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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