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LIVERPOOLLIVERPOOL

2-3-0  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 10:00 AM ET
Anfield

FULHAMFULHAM

0-2-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
LIVERPOOL
40%
DRAW
21%
FULHAM
40%
▲ Edge: +33.90% (Fulham)
65% Book Odds: -185
DRAW 22% Book Odds: +360
16% Book Odds: +520
Book Implied: 64.90% / 21.70% / 16.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
3.25
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 (Over)
Over 3.25 51%
Under 3.25 49%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
+1
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 goals (Fulham)
LiverpoolLiverpool (-1) 0 FulhamFulham (+1)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

56.1% / 43.9%

Shots (On Goal)

14(3) / 10(4)

Corners

5 / 8

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 1/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Liverpool By 1 goal

21.1%

Liverpool By 2+ goals

15.9%

Fulham By 1 goal

21.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
3
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
1
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Draw Win
52% Win Prob
A
Sim Liverpool Loss
83% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fulham (+1) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Liverpool (-1) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o3.25 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Sim o3.3 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 Liverpool vs Fulham 0 - 0
Apr 11, 2026 Liverpool vs Fulham 2 - 0
Jan 4, 2026 Fulham vs Liverpool 2 - 2
Apr 6, 2025 Fulham vs Liverpool 3 - 2
Dec 14, 2024 Liverpool vs Fulham 2 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Losses (L5) +300.0% more
Liverpool: 0.0 vs Fulham: 3.0
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Liverpool: 2.0 vs Fulham: 0.0
Wins (L5) +50.0% more
Liverpool: 3.0 vs Fulham: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +40.0% more
Liverpool: 5.0 vs Fulham: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Fulham Score 2.0 0
Liverpool Score 2.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 39.6% Draw: 20.7% Away Win: 39.6%
Liverpool (Home) vs Fulham (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Liverpool Share: 50.0% Fulham Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Liverpool
Fulham
Liverpool
Fulham
ML
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
100% 5-0
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
40% 2-3
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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