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C PALACEC PALACE

1-1-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 10:00 AM ET
Selhurst Park

IPSWICHIPSWICH

2-0-3  |  Away

3
AI Model Win Probability
C PALACE
35%
DRAW
31%
IPSWICH
35%
▲ Edge: +21.20% (Ipswich Town)
46% Book Odds: +116
DRAW 28% Book Odds: +262
29% Book Odds: +247
Book Implied: 46.30% / 27.60% / 28.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.8 (Under)
Over 2.75 49%
Under 2.75 51%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
IPSWICH
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Ipswich)
C PalaceC Palace (-0.5) 0 IpswichIpswich (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

46.5% / 53.5%

Shots (On Goal)

11(4) / 12(6)

Corners

6 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

1/1 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Ipswich Town 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Ipswich Town)

Crystal Palace By 1 goal

21.1%

Crystal Palace By 2+ goals

15.9%

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

21.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.60
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.60
0
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
40% Win Prob
C
Sim Crystal Palace Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ipswich Town (+0.5) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Crystal Palace (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.75 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.8 Loss
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 C Palace vs Ipswich 2 - 3
Mar 8, 2025 C Palace vs Ipswich 1 - 0
Dec 3, 2024 Ipswich vs C Palace 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +22.2% more
Ipswich: 11.0 vs C Palace: 9.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +22.2% more
C Palace: 9.0 vs Ipswich: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 3
Crystal Palace Score 1.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Crystal Palace (Home) vs Ipswich Town (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Crystal Palace Share: 50.0% Ipswich Town Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town
Crystal Palace
Ipswich Town
ML
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
40% 2-3
ATS
80% 4-1
67% 3-1
40% 2-3
33% 1-3
TTL
40% 2-3
0% 0-5
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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