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ATLANTEATLANTE

2-5-3  |  Home

0
FINAL
Fri, Sep 11 • 11:00 PM ET
Estadio Banorte

PACHUCAPACHUCA

1-2-3  |  Away

3
AI Model Win Probability
ATLANTE
35%
DRAW
31%
PACHUCA
35%
▲ Edge: +8.70% (Pachuca)
33% Book Odds: +208
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +240
41% Book Odds: +142
Book Implied: 32.50% / 29.40% / 41.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 47%
Under 2.5 53%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ATLANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Atlante)
AtlanteAtlante (+0.2) 0 PachucaPachuca (-0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

56.2% / 43.8%

Shots (On Goal)

32(5) / 21(8)

Corners

5 / 5

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Atlante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Atlante)

Atlante By 1 goal

21.1%

Atlante By 2+ goals

15.9%

Pachuca By 1 goal

21.1%

Pachuca By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 1.10
1
PACHUCA
Book Implied: 1.40
Simulated Score
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 1.10
2
PACHUCA
Book Implied: 1.40
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
38% Win Prob
C
Sim Pachuca Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Atlante (+0.25) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Pachuca (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim o2.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 11, 2026 Atlante vs Pachuca 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +200.0% more
Pachuca: 6.0 vs Atlante: 2.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Pachuca: 1.0 vs Atlante: 0.0
Draws (L5) +50.0% more
Atlante: 3.0 vs Pachuca: 2.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +25.0% more
Atlante: 4.0 vs Pachuca: 5.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Pachuca Score 1.0 3
Atlante Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Atlante (Home) vs Pachuca (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Atlante Share: 50.0% Pachuca Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Atlante
Pachuca
Atlante
Pachuca
ML
60% 6-4
40% 4-6
10% 1-9
22% 2-7
ATS
59% 5-3-1
78% 7-2-1
27% 2-5-2
22% 2-7
TTL
20% 2-8
50% 5-5
70% 7-3
22% 2-7
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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