CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
69-79 | Road
9
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
93-56 | Home
13
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Singer
#51 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Harrison
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 6-13 | 5.03 | 1.47 | 146.2 | 120 |
| Kyle Harrison | 10-4 | 3.66 | 1.27 | 110.2 | 134 |
6-13
W-L
10-4
5.03
ERA
Ldr 3.66
1.47
WHIP
Ldr 1.27
146.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
110.2
120
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 134
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
41%
BREWERS
59%
▲ Edge: +4.80% (CIN)
REDS
36%
Book Odds: +178
BREWERS
69%
Book Odds: -218
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
9.0
Over / Under Line
Over 9.0
49%
Under 9.0
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Cincinnati)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CIN +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)
CIN By 1-2 runs
15.3%
CIN By 3-4 runs
9.5%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
3.8
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 3.80
Milwaukee
5.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5.20
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
4
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 3.80
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
59% Win Prob
B
Sim
Brewers
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Reds (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.4
C
Sim
Reds (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u9.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
o9.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
CIN @ MIL
4 - 3
Sep 12, 2026
CIN @ MIL
9 - 13
Sep 11, 2026
CIN @ MIL
0 - 20
Sep 6, 2026
MIL @ CIN
8 - 12
Sep 5, 2026
MIL @ CIN
3 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.699
OPS
▲
.743
213
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+158.1% more
Milwaukee: 23.0
vs
Cincinnati: 8.9
Hits (L5)
+144.2% more
Milwaukee: 13.8
vs
Cincinnati: 5.6
Home Runs (L5)
+140.0% more
Milwaukee: 2.3
vs
Cincinnati: 0.9
Walks (L5)
+56.8% more
Milwaukee: 3.9
vs
Cincinnati: 2.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
3.8
9
MIL Score
5.2
13
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
13.8 / 5.6
14.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
2.3 / 0.9
3.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.8 / 9.5
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
23.0 / 8.9
25.0 / 24.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.5
6.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +157 / -191
→
+178 / -218
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
9
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CIN
MIL
CIN
ML
62%
101-61
55%
88-71
52%
84-78
49%
79-81
ATS
58%
94-68
54%
86-73
48%
78-84
50%
80-80
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-77-8
54%
83-72-5
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