Home / NFL Projections NFL / Giants @ Rams NYG @ LAR

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

1-1  |  Road

6
FINAL
Mon, Sep 21 • 8:15 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

RAMSLAR

1-1  |  Home

28
Key Game
Jordan Stout
KEY GAME

Jordan Stout

#15 | Punter
@
Ethan Evans
KEY GAME

Ethan Evans

#42 | Punter
Player
Jordan Stout None-None
Ethan Evans None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
25%
📊
RAMS
75%
▲ Edge: +0.60% (LAR)
GIANTS 29% Book Odds: +240
RAMS 75% Book Odds: -298
Book Implied: 29.40% / 74.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.0
Projected
Book Total
47.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 47.5 49%
Under 47.5 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
-6.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Los Angeles)
GiantsNYG (+6.5) 0 RamsLAR (-6.5)
Los Angeles Rams (-6.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Giants Cover

26.0%

Rams Cover

74.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around LAR -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAR)

NYG By 1-6 points

11.5%

NYG By 7-13 points

8.0%

LAR By 1-6 points

15.7%

LAR By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
19
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20.50
28
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 27
Simulated Score
20
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 20.50
29
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 27
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rams Win
75% Win Prob
A
Sim Rams Win
81% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Rams (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
A
Sim Rams (-6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u47.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Sim o47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 49.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 21, 2026 NYG @ LAR 6 - 28
Dec 31, 2023 LAR @ NYG 26 - 25
Oct 17, 2021 LAR @ NYG 38 - 11
Oct 4, 2020 NYG @ LAR 9 - 17
Nov 5, 2017 LAR @ NYG 51 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +25.0% more
New York: 1.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
New York: 0.5 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
First Downs (L5) +10.4% more
New York: 24.0 vs Los Angeles: 21.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +8.1% more
New York: 152.1 vs Los Angeles: 139.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYG Score 19.0 6
LAR Score 28.0 28
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.5 / 24.0 23.0 / 11.0
Net Passing Yards 241.3 / 228.3 318.0 / 130.0
Rushing Yards 139.8 / 152.1 163.0 / 52.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.56 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 381.1 / 380.4 481.0 / 182.0
Turnovers 0.9 / 1.2 2.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 5.7 / 5.6 8.0 / 3.3
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +300 / -380 → +240 / -298 ↓
18%TICKETS82%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +8.5 / -8.5 → +6.5 / -6.5 ↓
58%TICKETS42%
61%MONEY39%
Total (O/U)
Open: 48.5 → 47.5 ↓
62%TICKETS38%
60%MONEY40%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.3
LAR
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -2.3
LAR
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
1-1-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -6.5
LAR
0-2-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -13.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAR
NYG
LAR
NYG
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
ATS
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
TTL
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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