Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / E Washington @ Washington EWU @ WASH

EASTERN WASHINGTON

E WASHINGTONEWU

1-3  |  Road

16
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 7:15 PM ET
Husky Stadium
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WASHINGTONWASH

3-0  |  Home

48
Key Game
Luke Faccone
KEY GAME

Luke Faccone

#97 | Punter
@
Hunter Green
KEY GAME

Hunter Green

#93 | Punter
Player
Luke Faccone None-None
Hunter Green None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E WASHINGTON
3%
📊
WASHINGTON
97%
E WASHINGTON --
WASHINGTON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
64.6
Projected
Book Total
58.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +6.1 (Over)
Over 58.5 65%
Under 58.5 35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+37.0
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
E WashingtonEWU (-3.5) 0 WashingtonWASH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

E Washington Cover

99.6%

Washington Cover

0.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around EWU +37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

EWU By 1-6 points

0.3%

EWU By 7-13 points

0.1%

WASH By 1-6 points

1.0%

WASH By 7-13 points

3.2%

AI Model Projected Score
13.8
EASTERN WASHINGTON
50.8
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
20
EASTERN WASHINGTON
34
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Washington Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim Washington Win
92% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI E Washington (+42.5) Win
Proj Spread: +37.0
C
Sim Washington (-42.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o58.5 Win
Proj Total: 64.6
B
Sim u58.5 Loss
Proj Total: 54.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 19, 2026 EWU @ WASH 16 - 48
Aug 31, 2019 EWU @ WASH 14 - 47
Sep 6, 2014 EWU @ WASH 52 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +9.8% more
Washington: 370.0 vs Eastern Washington: 336.8
Turnovers (L5) +62.4% more
Eastern Washington: 1.7 vs Washington: 0.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 13.8 16
WASH Score 50.8 48
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.2 / 18.5 23.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 133.7 / 131.1 148.0 / 142.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.55 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 370.0 / 336.8 546.0 / 315.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.7 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +44.5 / -44.5 → -- / --
69%TICKETS31%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: 56.5 → 58.5 ↑
72%TICKETS28%
95%MONEY5%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EWU
--
WASH Advantage
3-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 16.0 ATS +/-: -15.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EWU
--
WASH
0-3-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 16.0 ATS +/-: -15.5
⚖️ Over/Under
EWU
--
WASH
1-2-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -12.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WASH
EWU
WASH
EWU
ML
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
ATS
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-2
TTL
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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