Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wyoming @ C Michigan WYO @ CMU

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

1-2  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 1:00 PM ET
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
View Odds Details →

CENTRAL MICHIGAN

C MICHIGANCMU

2-1  |  Home

24
Key Game
Erik Sandvik
KEY GAME

Erik Sandvik

#47 | Place kicker
@
Declan Duley
KEY GAME

Declan Duley

#18 | Punter
Player
Erik Sandvik None-None
Declan Duley None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WYOMING
23%
📊
C MICHIGAN
77%
▲ Edge: +27.20% (CMU)
WYOMING 55% Book Odds: -122
C MICHIGAN 50% Book Odds: +102
Book Implied: 55% / 49.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
53.0
Projected
Book Total
39.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +13.5 (Over)
Over 39.5 78%
Under 39.5 22%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.6
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.1 points (Central Michigan)
WyomingWYO (-1.5) 0 C MichiganCMU (+1.5)
Central Michigan Chippewas (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wyoming Cover

18.4%

C Michigan Cover

81.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CMU -12.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CMU)

WYO By 1-6 points

8.8%

WYO By 7-13 points

5.5%

CMU By 1-6 points

13.8%

CMU By 7-13 points

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
20.2
WYOMING
Book Implied: 20.50
32.8
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Implied: 19
Simulated Score
15
WYOMING
Book Implied: 20.50
32
CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Book Implied: 19
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI C Michigan Win
77% Win Prob
A
Sim C Michigan Win
95% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI C Michigan (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.6
A
Sim C Michigan (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o39.5 Loss
Proj Total: 53.0
A
Sim o39.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 19, 2026 WYO @ CMU 10 - 24
Dec 22, 2017 CMU @ WYO 14 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +17.7% more
Central Michigan: 146.2 vs Wyoming: 124.2
Turnovers (L5) +15.5% more
Central Michigan: 2.4 vs Wyoming: 2.1
First Downs (L5) +9.0% more
Wyoming: 15.8 vs Central Michigan: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WYO Score 20.2 10
CMU Score 32.8 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.3 / 15.8 20.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 146.2 / 124.2 339.0 / 162.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.38 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.6 / 0.4
Total Yards 262.0 / 275.0 371.0 / 342.0
Turnovers 2.4 / 2.1 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +102 / -120 → -122 / +102 ↓
36%TICKETS64%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
63%TICKETS37%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: 39.5 → 39.5
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WYO
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -5.7
CMU
3-3-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WYO
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -5.7
CMU
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WYO
1-5-0
O: 16.7% / U: 83.3% Total +/-: -8.7
CMU
2-4-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CMU
WYO
CMU
WYO
ML
100% 6-0
67% 4-2
83% 5-1
83% 5-1
ATS
50% 3-3
17% 1-5
33% 2-4
83% 5-1
TTL
33% 2-4
0% 0-6
50% 3-3
17% 1-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Oklahoma State Cowboys Extend Winning Streak to Four, Defeat UCF…
yahoo 4 days, 8 hours ago
Oklahoma State Football: Cowboys Enjoy Bye Week, Look Ahead to U…
yahoo 1 week, 6 days ago
Steelers' Draft Plan Shifts After Joey Porter Jr. Trade to Cowbo…
yahoo 2 weeks, 1 day ago
Bison-Wyoming Showdown Ignites Ticket Frenzy in Fargo
inforum 2 weeks, 2 days ago
Mestemaker's 389-Yard Outburst Powers Oklahoma State Past West V…
kdhnews 2 weeks, 5 days ago