Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Fordham @ Coastal FOR @ CCU

FORDHAM

FORDHAMFOR

0-3  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:30 PM ET
Brooks Stadium (SC)
View Odds Details →

COASTAL CAROLINA

COASTALCCU

1-1  |  Home

45
Key Game
Dominic Sansone
KEY GAME

Dominic Sansone

#97 | Place kicker
@
Roland Podesta
KEY GAME

Roland Podesta

#42 | Punter
Player
Dominic Sansone None-None
Roland Podesta None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
FORDHAM
5%
📊
COASTAL
95%
FORDHAM --
COASTAL --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.5
Projected
Book Total
53.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 (Over)
Over 53.5 82%
Under 53.5 18%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+30.5
FORDHAM
Book Spread
+37.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Fordham)
FordhamFOR (+37.5) 0 CoastalCCU (-37.5)
Fordham Rams (+37.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Fordham Cover

98.5%

Coastal Cover

1.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FOR +30.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FOR)

FOR By 1-6 points

0.9%

FOR By 7-13 points

0.3%

CCU By 1-6 points

2.7%

CCU By 7-13 points

6.9%

AI Model Projected Score
14
FORDHAM
Book Implied: 8
44.5
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 45.50
Simulated Score
32
FORDHAM
Book Implied: 8
22
COASTAL CAROLINA
Book Implied: 45.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Coastal Win
95% Win Prob
B
Sim Fordham Loss
84% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Fordham (+37.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +30.5
A
Sim Fordham (+37.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 58.5
A
Sim o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 54.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 FOR @ CCU 7 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +29.7% more
Coastal Carolina: 349.2 vs Fordham: 269.2
First Downs (L5) +21.6% more
Coastal Carolina: 18.1 vs Fordham: 14.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.4% more
Coastal Carolina: 86.1 vs Fordham: 70.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FOR Score 14.0 7
CCU Score 44.5 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.1 / 14.9 23.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 86.1 / 70.9 251.0 / 114.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.46 / 0.18
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 349.2 / 269.2 460.0 / 215.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.9 0.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
2%TICKETS98%
1%MONEY99%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +34.5 / -34.5 → +37.5 / -37.5 ↑
95%TICKETS5%
57%MONEY43%
Total (O/U)
Open: 53 → 53.5 ↑
33%TICKETS67%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
--
CCU Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
--
CCU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.5 ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
--
CCU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -5.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CCU
FOR
CCU
FOR
ML
75% 3-1
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
ATS
50% 2-2
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
0% 0-3
TTL
33% 1-2-1
0% 0-2
33% 1-2-1
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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