Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Campbell @ Florida CAM @ FLA

CAMPBELL

CAMPBELLCAM

2-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 5:30 PM ET
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

FLORIDAFLA

2-0  |  Home

52
Key Game
Brandon Bowman
KEY GAME

Brandon Bowman

#30 | Punter
@
Patrick Durkin
KEY GAME

Patrick Durkin

#91 | Place kicker
Player
Brandon Bowman None-None
Patrick Durkin None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CAMPBELL
4%
📊
FLORIDA
96%
CAMPBELL --
FLORIDA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.5
Projected
Book Total
66.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +5.0 (Under)
Over 66.5 39%
Under 66.5 61%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+34.5
CAMPBELL
Book Spread
+59.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Campbell)
CampbellCAM (+59.5) 0 FloridaFLA (-59.5)
Campbell Fighting Camels (+59.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Campbell Cover

99.3%

Florida Cover

0.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CAM +34.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAM)

CAM By 1-6 points

0.5%

CAM By 7-13 points

0.1%

FLA By 1-6 points

1.5%

FLA By 7-13 points

4.4%

AI Model Projected Score
13.5
CAMPBELL
Book Implied: 3.50
48
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 63
Simulated Score
17
CAMPBELL
Book Implied: 3.50
27
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 63
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Florida Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Florida Win
84% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Campbell (+59.5) Win
Proj Spread: +34.5
A
Sim Campbell (+59.5) Win
Proj Spread: +10.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u66.5 Win
Proj Total: 61.5
C
Sim u66.5 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 CAM @ FLA 3 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +191.4% more
Florida: 209.9 vs Campbell: 72.0
Total Yards (L5) +84.8% more
Florida: 438.6 vs Campbell: 237.3
First Downs (L5) +51.7% more
Florida: 22.9 vs Campbell: 15.1
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Florida: 0.4 vs Campbell: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 13.5 3
FLA Score 48.0 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.9 / 15.1 24.0 / 11.0
Rushing Yards 209.9 / 72.0 214.0 / 62.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.33 / 0.28
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 438.6 / 237.3 514.0 / 210.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.4 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +59.5 / -59.5 → +59.5 / -59.5
93%TICKETS7%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: 66.5 → 66.5
24%TICKETS76%
12%MONEY88%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CAM
--
FLA Advantage
3-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +6.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CAM
--
FLA Advantage
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 33.0 ATS +/-: +6.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CAM
--
FLA
2-1-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +15.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CAM
FLA
CAM
ML
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
ATS
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
TTL
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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