Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Wofford @ Kent State WOF @ KENT

WOFFORD

WOFFORDWOF

2-1  |  Road

15
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 12:00 PM ET
Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium
View Odds Details →

KENT STATE

KENT STATEKENT

1-1  |  Home

36
Key Game
Cillian Bonner
KEY GAME

Cillian Bonner

#36 | Place kicker
@
Sean Leonard
KEY GAME

Sean Leonard

#96 | Place kicker
Player
Cillian Bonner None-None
Sean Leonard None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WOFFORD
9%
📊
KENT STATE
91%
▲ Edge: +8.80% (KENT)
WOFFORD 22% Book Odds: +350
KENT STATE 82% Book Odds: -455
Book Implied: 22.20% / 82%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.0
Projected
Book Total
45.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +10.5 (Over)
Over 45.5 70%
Under 45.5 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
KENT STATE
Book Spread
-10
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Kent State)
WoffordWOF (+10) 0 Kent StateKENT (-10)
Kent State Golden Flashes (-10) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wofford Cover

4.3%

Kent State Cover

95.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KENT -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

WOF By 1-6 points

2.5%

WOF By 7-13 points

1.1%

KENT By 1-6 points

5.9%

KENT By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
16
WOFFORD
Book Implied: 17.80
40
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 27.80
Simulated Score
16
WOFFORD
Book Implied: 17.80
29
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 27.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kent State Win
91% Win Prob
B
Sim Kent State Win
90% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kent State (-10) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
B
Sim Kent State (-10) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o45.5 Win
Proj Total: 56.0
B
Sim u45.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 WOF @ KENT 15 - 36
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +155.1% more
Kent State: 121.9 vs Wofford: 47.8
Total Yards (L5) +47.4% more
Kent State: 289.1 vs Wofford: 196.1
Turnovers (L5) +35.0% more
Kent State: 1.2 vs Wofford: 0.8
First Downs (L5) +33.6% more
Kent State: 14.6 vs Wofford: 10.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WOF Score 16.0 15
KENT Score 40.0 36
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 14.6 / 10.9 21.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 121.9 / 47.8 195.0 / 58.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.58 / 0.0
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.4 0.62 / 0.38
Total Yards 289.1 / 196.1 448.0 / 173.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 0.8 3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +340 / -441 → +350 / -455
3%TICKETS97%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +11.5 / -11.5 → +10 / -10 ↓
54%TICKETS46%
58%MONEY42%
Total (O/U)
Open: 47.5 → 45.5 ↓
30%TICKETS70%
32%MONEY68%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WOF
--
KENT Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WOF
--
KENT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WOF
--
KENT
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KENT
WOF
KENT
WOF
ML
100% 5-0
100% 2-0
100% 5-0
100% 2-0
ATS
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
40% 2-3
100% 2-0
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 1-1
40% 2-3
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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