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WASHINGTON STATE

WASHINGTON STWSU

0-2  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 12:00 PM ET
Bill Snyder Family Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS STATE

KANSAS STKSU

2-0  |  Home

34
Key Game
Max Dean
KEY GAME

Max Dean

#32 | Punter
@
Simon McClannan
KEY GAME

Simon McClannan

#8 | Punter
Player
Max Dean None-None
Simon McClannan None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WASHINGTON ST
26%
📊
KANSAS ST
74%
▲ Edge: +13.50% (WSU)
WASHINGTON ST 13% Book Odds: +675
KANSAS ST 91% Book Odds: -1053
Book Implied: 12.90% / 91.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
48.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 48.5 56%
Under 48.5 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
+17.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.5 points (Washington State)
Washington StWSU (+17.5) 0 Kansas StKSU (-17.5)
Washington State Cougars (+17.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Washington St Cover

78.4%

Kansas St Cover

21.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WSU +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)

WSU By 1-6 points

10.0%

WSU By 7-13 points

6.6%

KSU By 1-6 points

14.7%

KSU By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
20.5
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Implied: 15.50
31.5
KANSAS STATE
Book Implied: 33
Simulated Score
20
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Implied: 15.50
29
KANSAS STATE
Book Implied: 33
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kansas St Win
74% Win Prob
C
Sim Kansas St Win
81% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Washington St (+17.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +11.0
C
Sim Washington St (+17.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +9.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Sim u48.5 Win
Proj Total: 49.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 WSU @ KSU 7 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +64.1% more
Kansas State: 259.0 vs Washington State: 157.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +23.0% more
Kansas State: 0.5 vs Washington State: 0.3
Total Yards (L5) +20.4% more
Kansas State: 442.1 vs Washington State: 367.3
Turnovers (L5) +55.5% more
Washington State: 2.3 vs Kansas State: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSU Score 20.5 7
KSU Score 31.5 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.7 / 21.5 24.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 259.0 / 157.8 295.0 / 101.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.62 / 0.17
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 442.1 / 367.3 487.0 / 166.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 2.3 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +650 / -1000 → +675 / -1053
3%TICKETS97%
8%MONEY92%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +16.5 / -16.5 → +17.5 / -17.5 ↑
84%TICKETS16%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: 51.5 → 48.5 ↓
40%TICKETS60%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSU
1-2-0 (33.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.0
KSU Advantage
3-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 35.3 ATS +/-: +8.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSU
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.0
KSU
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 35.3 ATS +/-: +8.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSU
1-2-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -7.2
KSU
2-1-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KSU
WSU
KSU
WSU
ML
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
ATS
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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