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CHARLESTON SOUTHERN

CHARLESTON SOCHSO

0-2  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 7:00 PM ET
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA SOUTHERN

GA SOUTHERNGASO

1-0  |  Home

31
Key Game
Baxter Pearce
KEY GAME

Baxter Pearce

#37 | Punter
@
Tripp Bryant
KEY GAME

Tripp Bryant

#95 | Place kicker
Player
Baxter Pearce None-None
Tripp Bryant None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLESTON SO
3%
📊
GA SOUTHERN
97%
CHARLESTON SO 7% Book Odds: +1411
GA SOUTHERN 98% Book Odds: -4556
Book Implied: 6.60% / 97.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.0
Projected
Book Total
52.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 (Over)
Over 52.5 56%
Under 52.5 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-33.4
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Spread
-28.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Georgia Southern)
Charleston SoCHSO (+28.5) 0 GA SouthernGASO (-28.5)
Georgia Southern Eagles (-28.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charleston So Cover

0.9%

GA Southern Cover

99.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around GASO -33.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GASO)

CHSO By 1-6 points

0.6%

CHSO By 7-13 points

0.2%

GASO By 1-6 points

1.8%

GASO By 7-13 points

5.0%

AI Model Projected Score
11.3
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 12
44.7
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 40.50
Simulated Score
13
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 12
39
GEORGIA SOUTHERN
Book Implied: 40.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI GA Southern Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim GA Southern Win
99% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI GA Southern (-28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -33.4
B
Sim GA Southern (-28.5) Win
Proj Spread: -26.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o52.5 Loss
Proj Total: 56.0
C
Sim u52.5 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 CHSO @ GASO 0 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +160.3% more
Georgia Southern: 448.9 vs Charleston Southern: 172.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +125.2% more
Georgia Southern: 156.2 vs Charleston Southern: 69.3
First Downs (L5) +123.1% more
Georgia Southern: 23.6 vs Charleston Southern: 10.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +29.0% more
Georgia Southern: 0.5 vs Charleston Southern: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score 11.3 0
GASO Score 44.7 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.6 / 10.6 22.0 / 5.0
Rushing Yards 156.2 / 69.3 143.0 / 0.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.2 0.44 / 0.17
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 448.9 / 172.5 424.0 / 35.0
Turnovers 1.0 / 1.6 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +1411 / -4556 → +1411 / -4556
1%TICKETS99%
12%MONEY88%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +28.5 / -28.5 → +28.5 / -28.5
76%TICKETS24%
47%MONEY53%
Total (O/U)
Open: 52.5 → 52.5
78%TICKETS22%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
--
GASO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
--
GASO Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
--
GASO
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GASO
CHSO
GASO
CHSO
ML
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
80% 4-1
100% 2-0
ATS
20% 1-4
50% 1-1
60% 3-2
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-5
0% 0-2
80% 4-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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