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ESPANYOLESPANYOL

2-1-4  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 3:00 PM ET
RCDE Stadium

SEVILLASEVILLA

4-1-2  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
ESPANYOL
35%
DRAW
31%
SEVILLA
35%
▲ Edge: +18.80% (Sevilla)
43% Book Odds: +135
DRAW --
31% Book Odds: +220
Book Implied: 42.60% / % / 31.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 36%
Under 2.5 64%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
SEVILLA
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Sevilla)
EspanyolEspanyol (-0.5) 0 SevillaSevilla (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

55.6% / 44.4%

Shots (On Goal)

12(3) / 6(3)

Corners

0 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 3/1

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Sevilla 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Sevilla)

Espanyol By 1 goal

21.1%

Espanyol By 2+ goals

15.9%

Sevilla By 1 goal

21.1%

Sevilla By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1.50
1
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
1
ESPANYOL
Book Implied: 1.50
0
SEVILLA
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
45% Win Prob
B
Sim Espanyol Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sevilla (+0.25) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Espanyol (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.25 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 Espanyol vs Sevilla 1 - 1
Nov 24, 2025 Espanyol vs Sevilla 2 - 1
Jan 25, 2025 Sevilla vs Espanyol 1 - 1
Oct 25, 2024 Espanyol vs Sevilla 0 - 2
May 4, 2023 Sevilla vs Espanyol 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Sevilla: 2.0 vs Espanyol: 1.0
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Espanyol: 1.0 vs Sevilla: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Sevilla Score 1.0 1
Espanyol Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Espanyol (Home) vs Sevilla (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Espanyol Share: 50.0% Sevilla Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Espanyol
Sevilla
Espanyol
Sevilla
ML
57% 4-3
86% 6-1
43% 3-4
43% 3-4
ATS
71% 5-2
86% 6-1
29% 2-5
54% 3-3
TTL
50% 3-3-1
43% 3-4
45% 2-3-1
86% 6-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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