Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Málaga vs Levante Málaga vs Levante

MÁLAGAMÁLAGA

0-3-4  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sun, Sep 6 • 12:30 PM ET
La Rosaleda

LEVANTELEVANTE

1-2-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
MÁLAGA
35%
DRAW
31%
LEVANTE
35%
▲ Edge: +16.70% (Levante)
41% Book Odds: +145
DRAW --
33% Book Odds: +200
Book Implied: 40.80% / % / 33.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 38%
Under 2.5 62%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
LEVANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Levante)
MálagaMálaga (-0.5) 0 LevanteLevante (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

62.8% / 37.2%

Shots (On Goal)

10(3) / 11(3)

Corners

6 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

4/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Levante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Levante)

Málaga By 1 goal

21.1%

Málaga By 2+ goals

15.9%

Levante By 1 goal

21.1%

Levante By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
MÁLAGA
Book Implied: 1.50
1
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
1
MÁLAGA
Book Implied: 1.50
0
LEVANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
37% Win Prob
D
Sim Málaga Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Levante (+0.25) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
B
Sim Málaga (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2026 Málaga vs Levante 0 - 0
Apr 19, 2018 Levante vs Málaga 1 - 0
Dec 1, 2017 Málaga vs Levante 0 - 0
May 2, 2016 Málaga vs Levante 3 - 1
Dec 30, 2015 Levante vs Málaga 0 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5) +200.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Málaga: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +125.0% more
Levante: 9.0 vs Málaga: 4.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Levante: 2.0 vs Málaga: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +37.5% more
Levante: 8.0 vs Málaga: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Levante Score 1.0 0
Málaga Score 1.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Málaga (Home) vs Levante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Málaga Share: 50.0% Levante Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Málaga
Levante
Málaga
Levante
ML
57% 4-3
83% 5-1
43% 3-4
50% 3-3
ATS
43% 3-4
83% 5-1
43% 3-4
33% 2-4
TTL
71% 5-2
50% 3-3
71% 5-2
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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