SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
69-79 | Road
5
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
60-88 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
George Kirby
#68 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jeffrey Springs
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 9-11 | 4.18 | 1.34 | 159.1 | 133 |
| Jeffrey Springs | 4-13 | 6.02 | 1.45 | 130.0 | 104 |
9-11
W-L
4-13
4.18 Ldr
ERA
6.02
1.34 Ldr
WHIP
1.45
159.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
130.0
133 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
104
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
50%
ATHLETICS
50%
▲ Edge: +7.90% (ATH)
MARINERS
63%
Book Odds: -167
ATHLETICS
42%
Book Odds: +138
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
10.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 10.5
37%
Under 10.5
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SEA By 3-4 runs
17.2%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
5.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6
Athletics
3.8
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 6
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mariners
Loss
61% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
u10.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.245
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.693
OPS
▲
.719
182
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+46.0% more
Seattle: 0.5
vs
Athletics: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+41.8% more
Seattle: 3.7
vs
Athletics: 2.2
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.2% more
Seattle: 10.3
vs
Athletics: 7.5
Hits (L5)
+9.7% more
Seattle: 6.4
vs
Athletics: 5.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
5.2
5
ATH Score
3.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.5
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
5.8 / 6.4
14.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.6
2.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 10.3
6.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
10.5 / 9.7
22.0 / 17.0
Walks
2.2 / 3.7
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -151 / +125
→
-167 / +138
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9.5
→
10.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
SEA
ATH
SEA
ML
59%
95-67
50%
81-81
54%
87-74
52%
85-77
ATS
52%
84-78
60%
98-64
50%
81-80
59%
95-67
TTL
54%
84-73-5
56%
85-67-10
42%
66-90-5
53%
81-71-10
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
Cardinals Eye Another Dustin May-Style Signing to Bolster Rotati…
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Guardians' Parker Messick Aims to Force Game 5 as Rookie Strikeo…
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Shrugs Off Yankee Stadium Boos: 'It Didn't Hur…