Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Charlotte @ Ole Miss CLT @ MISS

CHARLOTTE

CHARLOTTECLT

0-2  |  Road

9
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:45 PM ET
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

OLE MISSMISS

2-0  |  Home

41
Key Game
Bronson Long
KEY GAME

Bronson Long

#95 | Punter
@
Oscar Bird
KEY GAME

Oscar Bird

#33 | Punter
Player
Bronson Long None-None
Oscar Bird None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CHARLOTTE
3%
📊
OLE MISS
97%
CHARLOTTE --
OLE MISS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
61.0
Projected
Book Total
59.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 59.5 54%
Under 59.5 46%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+36.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
+44.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.5 points (Charlotte)
CharlotteCLT (+44.5) 0 Ole MissMISS (-44.5)
Charlotte 49ers (+44.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Charlotte Cover

99.5%

Ole Miss Cover

0.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CLT +36.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLT)

CLT By 1-6 points

0.3%

CLT By 7-13 points

0.1%

MISS By 1-6 points

1.2%

MISS By 7-13 points

3.6%

AI Model Projected Score
12.5
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 7.50
48.5
OLE MISS
Book Implied: 52
Simulated Score
14
CHARLOTTE
Book Implied: 7.50
46
OLE MISS
Book Implied: 52
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Ole Miss Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim Ole Miss Win
100% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Charlotte (+44.5) Win
Proj Spread: +36.0
B
Sim Charlotte (+44.5) Win
Proj Spread: +32.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o59.5 Loss
Proj Total: 61.0
C
Sim o59.5 Loss
Proj Total: 60.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 CLT @ MISS 9 - 41
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +85.8% more
Ole Miss: 25.8 vs Charlotte: 13.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +62.7% more
Ole Miss: 163.9 vs Charlotte: 100.7
Total Yards (L5) +55.5% more
Ole Miss: 498.9 vs Charlotte: 320.9
Turnovers (L5) +42.9% more
Charlotte: 1.8 vs Ole Miss: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CLT Score 12.5 9
MISS Score 48.5 41
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 25.8 / 13.9 25.0 / 17.0
Rushing Yards 163.9 / 100.7 127.0 / 143.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.25 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.38 / 0.62
Total Yards 498.9 / 320.9 420.0 / 322.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.8 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: 0 / 0 → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +47.5 / -47.5 → +44.5 / -44.5 ↓
87%TICKETS13%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: 61.5 → 59.5 ↓
14%TICKETS86%
16%MONEY84%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLT
0-6-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -26.2 ATS +/-: -10.2
MISS Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLT
2-4-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -26.2 ATS +/-: -10.2
MISS Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLT
3-3-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.7
MISS
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +9.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
CLT
MISS
CLT
ML
80% 4-1
83% 5-1
80% 4-1
83% 5-1
ATS
40% 2-3
67% 4-2
40% 2-3
83% 5-1
TTL
40% 2-3
33% 2-4
60% 3-2
50% 3-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
SEC Commissioner Greg Sankey Threatens Independent Rule-Making i…
wsls 1 day, 1 hour ago
Greg Sankey Signals Openness to 24-Team Playoff: What It Means f…
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Bears May Be Without Two Key Starters Against Falcons in Week 6
si 1 day, 6 hours ago
Joel Klatt Calls Out Blown Pass Interference in Georgia-Alabama …
yahoo 1 day, 19 hours ago
Ole Miss Rebels Roar Back: Vanderbilt Rout Eases CFP Worries
si 4 days ago