MINNESOTA
TWINSMIN
69-76 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
66-79 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Dean Kremer
#13 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer | 2-5 | 5.81 | 1.31 | 66.2 | 66 |
| Drew Anderson | 4-5 | 3.73 | 1.30 | 91.2 | 101 |
2-5
W-L
4-5
5.81
ERA
Ldr 3.73
1.31
WHIP
Ldr 1.30
66.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 91.2
66
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 101
AI Model Win Probability
TWINS
41%
TIGERS
59%
▲ Edge: +1.40% (DET)
TWINS
47%
Book Odds: +113
TIGERS
58%
Book Odds: -136
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
Over 8.5
49%
Under 8.5
51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
MIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
3.5
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 5
Simulated Score
Minnesota
4
MINNESOTA
Book Implied: 3.50
Detroit
6
DETROIT
Book Implied: 5
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Twins (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
C
Sim
Tigers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
u8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
D
Sim
o8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
MIN @ DET
2 - 7
Sep 8, 2026
MIN @ DET
3 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
MIN @ DET
4 - 5
Sep 2, 2026
DET @ MIN
11 - 6
Sep 1, 2026
DET @ MIN
2 - 15
Season Statistics Comparison
Minnesota
MIN
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
OPS
.720
187
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Total Bases (L5)
+10.8% more
Detroit: 13.5
vs
Minnesota: 12.2
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.3%
Detroit: 32.0%
vs
Minnesota: 31.7%
Walks (L5)
+46.8% more
Minnesota: 3.4
vs
Detroit: 1.8
Errors (L5)
+19.0% more
Minnesota: 0.5
vs
Detroit: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
3.5
3
DET Score
5.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.5
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 7.4
5.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.1
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
9.0 / 9.3
5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 12.2
8.0 / 11.0
Walks
1.8 / 3.4
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +107 / -129
→
+113 / -136
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
(51.8%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
88-64-10
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
MIN
DET
MIN
ML
54%
86-73
52%
84-78
54%
87-73
50%
80-81
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
95-67
57%
91-69
59%
95-66
TTL
46%
69-81-9
51%
78-75-9
46%
69-81-10
53%
80-72-9
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