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NOTTM FORESTNOTTM FOREST

1-2-2  |  Home

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 10:00 AM ET
The City Ground

SPURSSPURS

0-2-3  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
NOTTM FOREST
61%
DRAW
21%
SPURS
18%
▲ Edge: +19.70% (Tottenham Hotspur)
36% Book Odds: +179
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +237
38% Book Odds: +167
Book Implied: 35.80% / 29.70% / 37.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 55%
Under 2.5 45%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
NOTTM FOREST
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 goals (Nottm Forest)
Nottm ForestNottm Forest (0) 0 SpursSpurs (0)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

41.4% / 58.6%

Shots (On Goal)

12(2) / 12(0)

Corners

2 / 10

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Nottingham Forest -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Nottingham Forest)

Nottingham Forest By 1 goal

26.1%

Nottingham Forest By 2+ goals

36.9%

Tottenham Hotspur By 1 goal

11.1%

Tottenham Hotspur By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
1
SPURS
Book Implied: 1.20
Simulated Score
1
NOTTM FOREST
Book Implied: 1.20
0
SPURS
Book Implied: 1.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Nottingham Forest Loss
43% Win Prob
C
Sim Nottingham Forest Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Nottingham Forest (+0) Push
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Sim Nottingham Forest (+0) Push
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 Nottm Forest vs Spurs 0 - 0
Mar 22, 2026 Spurs vs Nottm Forest 0 - 3
Apr 21, 2025 Spurs vs Nottm Forest 1 - 2
Dec 26, 2024 Nottm Forest vs Spurs 1 - 0
Apr 7, 2024 Spurs vs Nottm Forest 3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Goals Conceded (L5) +33.3% more
Nottm Forest: 6.0 vs Spurs: 8.0
Goals Scored (L5) +66.7% more
Spurs: 10.0 vs Nottm Forest: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Tottenham Hotspur Score 1.0 0
Nottingham Forest Score 2.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Nottingham Forest (Home) vs Tottenham Hotspur (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Nottingham Forest Share: 66.7% Tottenham Hotspur Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham Hotspur
ML
0% 0-5
20% 1-4
0% 0-5
20% 1-4
ATS
75% 3-1-1
75% 3-1-1
0% 0-4-1
25% 1-3-1
TTL
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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