Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Fulham vs C Palace Fulham vs C Palace

FULHAMFULHAM

0-2-3  |  Home

2
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 10:00 AM ET
Craven Cottage

C PALACEC PALACE

1-1-3  |  Away

3
AI Model Win Probability
FULHAM
61%
DRAW
21%
C PALACE
18%
▲ Edge: +16.40% (Crystal Palace)
46% Book Odds: +119
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +243
28% Book Odds: +256
Book Implied: 45.70% / 29.20% / 28.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 54%
Under 2.5 46%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
-1.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
-0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 goals (Fulham)
FulhamFulham (-0.2) 0 C PalaceC Palace (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

64.7% / 35.3%

Shots (On Goal)

25(6) / 10(5)

Corners

7 / 1

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 0/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Fulham By 1 goal

26.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

36.9%

Crystal Palace By 1 goal

11.1%

Crystal Palace By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.40
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
2
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.40
1
C PALACE
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fulham Loss
55% Win Prob
B
Sim Fulham Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fulham (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Sim Fulham (-0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o2.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim o2.5 Win
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 Fulham vs C Palace 2 - 3
Jan 1, 2026 C Palace vs Fulham 1 - 1
Dec 7, 2025 Fulham vs C Palace 1 - 2
Feb 22, 2025 Fulham vs C Palace 0 - 2
Nov 9, 2024 C Palace vs Fulham 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Fulham: 1.0 vs C Palace: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +83.3% more
Fulham: 6.0 vs C Palace: 11.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Fulham: 2.0 vs C Palace: 3.0
Goals Scored (L5) +33.3% more
Fulham: 8.0 vs C Palace: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Crystal Palace Score 1.0 3
Fulham Score 2.0 2
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Fulham (Home) vs Crystal Palace (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Fulham Share: 66.7% Crystal Palace Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Fulham
Crystal Palace
ML
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
ATS
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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