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IPSWICHIPSWICH

2-0-3  |  Home

0
FINAL
Fri, Sep 4 • 3:00 PM ET
Portman Road

LIVERPOOLLIVERPOOL

2-3-0  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
IPSWICH
40%
DRAW
21%
LIVERPOOL
40%
▲ Edge: +30.60% (Ipswich Town)
19% Book Odds: +415
DRAW 23% Book Odds: +345
61% Book Odds: -155
Book Implied: 19.40% / 22.50% / 60.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
3.25
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 (Over)
Over 3.25 61%
Under 3.25 39%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
IPSWICH
Book Goal Line
+1
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 goals (Ipswich)
IpswichIpswich (+1) 0 LiverpoolLiverpool (-1)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

45.1% / 54.9%

Shots (On Goal)

14(5) / 10(7)

Corners

4 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Ipswich Town 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Ipswich Town)

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

21.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

15.9%

Liverpool By 1 goal

21.1%

Liverpool By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
2
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
Simulated Score
0
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 1.10
2
LIVERPOOL
Book Implied: 2.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
38% Win Prob
C
Sim Liverpool Win
81% Win Prob
A
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Ipswich Town (+1) Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Liverpool (-1) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o3.25 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
A
Sim u3.3 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 4, 2026 Ipswich vs Liverpool 0 - 2
Jan 25, 2025 Liverpool vs Ipswich 4 - 1
Aug 17, 2024 Ipswich vs Liverpool 0 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +300.0% more
Liverpool: 3.0 vs Ipswich: 0.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +28.6% more
Liverpool: 7.0 vs Ipswich: 9.0
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Ipswich: 4.0 vs Liverpool: 1.0
Goals Scored (L5) +75.0% more
Ipswich: 14.0 vs Liverpool: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Liverpool Score 2.0 2
Ipswich Town Score 2.0 0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 39.6% Draw: 20.7% Away Win: 39.6%
Ipswich Town (Home) vs Liverpool (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Ipswich Town Share: 50.0% Liverpool Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Ipswich Town
Liverpool
Ipswich Town
Liverpool
ML
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
ATS
67% 3-1
100% 5-0
33% 1-3
40% 2-3
TTL
0% 0-5
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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