Home / LALIGA Projections LALIGA / Osasuna vs Getafe Osasuna vs Getafe

OSASUNAOSASUNA

2-1-0  |  Home

1
FINAL
Mon, Aug 31 • 1:30 PM ET
El Sadar

GETAFEGETAFE

1-0-2  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
OSASUNA
35%
DRAW
31%
GETAFE
35%
▲ Edge: +26.20% (Getafe)
46% Book Odds: +120
DRAW --
24% Book Odds: +320
Book Implied: 45.50% / % / 23.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
1.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 1.5 58%
Under 1.5 42%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
GETAFE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Getafe)
OsasunaOsasuna (-0.5) 0 GetafeGetafe (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

45.0% / 55.0%

Shots (On Goal)

10(2) / 11(1)

Corners

1 / 3

Cards (Y/R)

5/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Getafe 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Getafe)

Osasuna By 1 goal

21.1%

Osasuna By 2+ goals

15.9%

Getafe By 1 goal

21.1%

Getafe By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1
1
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Simulated Score
1
OSASUNA
Book Implied: 1
0
GETAFE
Book Implied: 0.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
46% Win Prob
C
Sim Osasuna Win
54% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Getafe (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
A
Sim Osasuna (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o1.75 Loss
Proj Total: 2.0
A
Sim u1.8 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 31, 2026 Osasuna vs Getafe 1 - 0
Oct 3, 2025 Osasuna vs Getafe 2 - 1
Mar 16, 2025 Osasuna vs Getafe 1 - 2
Oct 5, 2024 Getafe vs Osasuna 1 - 1
Jan 21, 2024 Osasuna vs Getafe 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +100.0% more
Getafe: 6.0 vs Osasuna: 3.0
Wins (L5) +100.0% more
Getafe: 2.0 vs Osasuna: 1.0
Losses (L5) +50.0% more
Getafe: 2.0 vs Osasuna: 3.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +16.7% more
Osasuna: 6.0 vs Getafe: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Getafe Score 1.0 0
Osasuna Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Osasuna (Home) vs Getafe (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Osasuna Share: 50.0% Getafe Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Osasuna
Getafe
Osasuna
Getafe
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
TTL
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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