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ATLASATLAS

5-2-3  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sat, Sep 5 • 11:00 PM ET
Estadio Jalisco

ATLANTEATLANTE

2-5-3  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
ATLAS
35%
DRAW
31%
ATLANTE
35%
▲ Edge: +26.90% (Atlante)
53% Book Odds: -112
DRAW 28% Book Odds: +262
23% Book Odds: +333
Book Implied: 52.80% / 27.60% / 23.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 38%
Under 2.5 62%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ATLANTE
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Atlante)
AtlasAtlas (-0.5) 0 AtlanteAtlante (+0.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

63.5% / 36.5%

Shots (On Goal)

16(3) / 8(2)

Corners

3 / 1

Cards (Y/R)

2/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Atlante 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Atlante)

Atlas By 1 goal

21.1%

Atlas By 2+ goals

15.9%

Atlante By 1 goal

21.1%

Atlante By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
ATLAS
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 1
Simulated Score
2
ATLAS
Book Implied: 1.50
1
ATLANTE
Book Implied: 1
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
52% Win Prob
C
Sim Atlas Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Atlante (+0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Atlas (-0.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 5, 2026 Atlas vs Atlante 1 - 1
Jan 31, 2026 Atlas vs Atlante 1 - 0
Sep 19, 2025 Atlante vs Atlas 1 - 1
Mar 28, 2025 Atlante vs Atlas 3 - 2
Oct 18, 2024 Atlas vs Atlante 0 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Atlante: 2.0 vs Atlas: 0.0
Wins (L5) +300.0% more
Atlas: 3.0 vs Atlante: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +250.0% more
Atlas: 7.0 vs Atlante: 2.0
Losses (L5) +100.0% more
Atlas: 1.0 vs Atlante: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Atlante Score 1.0 1
Atlas Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Atlas (Home) vs Atlante (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Atlas Share: 50.0% Atlante Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Atlas
Atlante
Atlas
Atlante
ML
60% 6-4
60% 6-4
40% 4-6
10% 1-9
ATS
47% 4-5
59% 5-3-1
42% 4-5
27% 2-5-2
TTL
80% 8-2
20% 2-8
50% 5-5
70% 7-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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