ATL. SAN LUISATL. SAN LUIS
3-3-4 | Home
0
GUADALAJARAGUADALAJARA
5-3-2 | Away
3
AI Model Win Probability
ATL. SAN LUIS
35%
DRAW
31%
GUADALAJARA
35%
▲ Edge: +27.90% (Atlético de San Luis)
22%
Book Odds: +352
DRAW
27%
Book Odds: +272
55%
Book Odds: -120
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.75
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.8 (Under)
Over 2.75
42%
Under 2.75
58%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
ATL. SAN LUIS
Book Goal Line
+0.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Atl. San Luis)
Soccer Match Statistics
Possession
49.9% / 50.1%
Shots (On Goal)
10(4) / 7(3)
Corners
3 / 2
Cards (Y/R)
1/0 - 0/0
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-4.5-3-1.50+1.5+3+4.5
Distribution centered around Atlético de San Luis 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Atlético de San Luis)
Atlético de San Luis By 1 goal
21.1%
Atlético de San Luis By 2+ goals
15.9%
Guadalajara By 1 goal
21.1%
Guadalajara By 2+ goals
15.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Atl. San Luis
1
ATL. SAN LUIS
Book Implied: 1.10
Guadalajara
1
GUADALAJARA
Book Implied: 1.60
Simulated Score
Atl. San Luis
1
ATL. SAN LUIS
Book Implied: 1.10
Guadalajara
2
GUADALAJARA
Book Implied: 1.60
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Draw
Loss
40% Win Prob
C
Sim
Guadalajara
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Atlético de San Luis (+0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim
Guadalajara (-0.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u2.75
Proj Total: 2.0
B
Sim
o2.8
Proj Total: 3.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 5, 2026
Atl. San Luis vs Guadalajara
0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Wins (L5)
+200.0% more
Guadalajara: 3.0
vs
Atl. San Luis: 1.0
Goals Conceded (L5)
+120.0% more
Guadalajara: 5.0
vs
Atl. San Luis: 11.0
Losses (L5)
+100.0% more
Guadalajara: 1.0
vs
Atl. San Luis: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5)
+28.6% more
Guadalajara: 9.0
vs
Atl. San Luis: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
Guadalajara Score
1.0
3
Atlético de San Luis Score
1.0
0
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Atlético de San Luis (Home)
vs
Guadalajara (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Book Line: 2.5 Goals
AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
AI Projected Score
1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Atlético de San Luis
Guadalajara
Atlético de San Luis
Guadalajara
ML
30%
3-7
50%
5-5
50%
5-5
60%
6-4
ATS
56%
5-4-1
86%
6-1-3
62%
5-3-2
57%
4-3-3
TTL
32%
3-6
83%
7-1-1
68%
6-3
56%
5-4-1