Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Man United vs Ipswich Man United vs Ipswich

MAN UNITEDMAN UNITED

1-0-1  |  Home

5
FINAL
Sun, Aug 30 • 11:30 AM ET
Old Trafford

IPSWICHIPSWICH

1-0-1  |  Away

2
AI Model Win Probability
MAN UNITED
61%
DRAW
21%
IPSWICH
18%
▲ Edge: +29.60% (Ipswich Town)
73% Book Odds: -270
DRAW 18% Book Odds: +450
12% Book Odds: +760
Book Implied: 73% / 18.20% / 11.60%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
3.0
Projected
Book Total
3.25
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.3 (Under)
Over 3.25 52%
Under 3.25 48%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
+1.0
IPSWICH
Book Goal Line
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 goals (Ipswich)
Man UnitedMan United (-1.5) 0 IpswichIpswich (+1.5)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

60.4% / 39.6%

Shots (On Goal)

33(11) / 9(5)

Corners

8 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

1/0 - 3/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

74.8%

Cover

25.2%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Ipswich Town +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Ipswich Town)

Manchester United By 1 goal

26.1%

Manchester United By 2+ goals

36.9%

Ipswich Town By 1 goal

11.1%

Ipswich Town By 2+ goals

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
2
MAN UNITED
Book Implied: 2.40
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 0.90
Simulated Score
2
MAN UNITED
Book Implied: 2.40
1
IPSWICH
Book Implied: 0.90
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Manchester United Win
59% Win Prob
A
Sim Manchester United Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Goal Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ipswich Town (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
C
Sim Ipswich Town (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u3.25 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Sim u3.3 Loss
Proj Total: 3.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 Man United vs Ipswich 5 - 2
Feb 26, 2025 Man United vs Ipswich 3 - 2
Nov 24, 2024 Ipswich vs Man United 1 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +200.0% more
Man United: 2.0 vs Ipswich: 0.0
Wins (L5) +400.0% more
Ipswich: 5.0 vs Man United: 1.0
Losses (L5) +200.0% more
Ipswich: 0.0 vs Man United: 2.0
Goals Scored (L5) +150.0% more
Ipswich: 15.0 vs Man United: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Ipswich Town Score 1.0 2
Manchester United Score 2.0 5
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 60.6% Draw: 21.2% Away Win: 18.3%
Manchester United (Home) vs Ipswich Town (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 57.7% Under 2.5: 42.3%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 3.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Manchester United Share: 66.7% Ipswich Town Share: 33.3%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
Manchester United
Ipswich Town
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
ATS
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
No relevant news articles found for this game.