Home / Premier League Projections Premier League / Sunderland vs Fulham Sunderland vs Fulham

SUNDERLANDSUNDERLAND

1-0-1  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Aug 30 • 9:00 AM ET
Stadium of Light

FULHAMFULHAM

0-0-2  |  Away

0
AI Model Win Probability
SUNDERLAND
35%
DRAW
31%
FULHAM
35%
▲ Edge: +20.50% (Fulham)
44% Book Odds: +129
DRAW 30% Book Odds: +237
30% Book Odds: +239
Book Implied: 43.70% / 29.70% / 29.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
2.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 2.5 49%
Under 2.5 51%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
FULHAM
Book Goal Line
+0.25
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 goals (Fulham)
SunderlandSunderland (-0.2) 0 FulhamFulham (+0.2)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

41.6% / 58.4%

Shots (On Goal)

12(4) / 11(0)

Corners

3 / 4

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 2/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Fulham 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Fulham)

Sunderland By 1 goal

21.1%

Sunderland By 2+ goals

15.9%

Fulham By 1 goal

21.1%

Fulham By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
1
SUNDERLAND
Book Implied: 1.40
1
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.10
Simulated Score
1
SUNDERLAND
Book Implied: 1.40
0
FULHAM
Book Implied: 1.10
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Loss
37% Win Prob
C
Sim Sunderland Win
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Fulham (+0.25) Loss
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Sunderland (-0.25) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 2.0
C
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 Sunderland vs Fulham 1 - 0
Feb 22, 2026 Sunderland vs Fulham 1 - 3
Nov 22, 2025 Fulham vs Sunderland 1 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Draws (L5) +100.0% more
Fulham: 1.0 vs Sunderland: 0.0
Goals Scored (L5) +50.0% more
Fulham: 9.0 vs Sunderland: 6.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +75.0% more
Sunderland: 4.0 vs Fulham: 7.0
Wins (L5) +50.0% more
Sunderland: 3.0 vs Fulham: 2.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Fulham Score 1.0 0
Sunderland Score 1.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 34.6% Draw: 30.9% Away Win: 34.6%
Sunderland (Home) vs Fulham (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 32.3% Under 2.5: 67.7%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 2.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Sunderland Share: 50.0% Fulham Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 1.0 - 1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Sunderland
Fulham
Sunderland
Fulham
ML
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
ATS
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
TTL
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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