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LEEDSLEEDS

1-1-0  |  Home

1
FINAL
Sun, Aug 30 • 9:00 AM ET
Elland Road

BRENTFORDBRENTFORD

1-1-0  |  Away

1
AI Model Win Probability
LEEDS
40%
DRAW
21%
BRENTFORD
40%
▲ Edge: +10.80% (Brentford)
35% Book Odds: +188
DRAW 29% Book Odds: +246
39% Book Odds: +155
Book Implied: 34.70% / 28.90% / 39.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
2.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 2.5 62%
Under 2.5 38%
AI Model Goal Line Expectation
AI Goal Line Proj
0.0
BRENTFORD
Book Goal Line
--
Book Line
LeedsLeeds (0) 0 BrentfordBrentford (0)
Model Expected Goal Line
Soccer Match Statistics

Possession

46.6% / 53.4%

Shots (On Goal)

12(2) / 22(5)

Corners

5 / 6

Cards (Y/R)

0/0 - 4/0

Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cover

50.0%

Cover

50.0%

+4.5+3+1.50-1.5-3-4.5
Distribution centered around Brentford 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (Brentford)

Leeds United By 1 goal

21.1%

Leeds United By 2+ goals

15.9%

Brentford By 1 goal

21.1%

Brentford By 2+ goals

15.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2
LEEDS
Book Implied: 1.20
2
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.20
Simulated Score
1
LEEDS
Book Implied: 1.20
0
BRENTFORD
Book Implied: 1.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Draw Win
37% Win Prob
C
Sim Leeds United Loss
54% Win Prob
D
Goal Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Leeds United (-0) Push
Proj Goals: 0.0
C
Sim Leeds United (+0) Push
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o2.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
A
Sim u2.5 Win
Proj Total: 1.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2026 Leeds vs Brentford 1 - 1
Mar 21, 2026 Leeds vs Brentford 0 - 0
Jan 22, 2023 Leeds vs Brentford 0 - 0
Sep 3, 2022 Brentford vs Leeds 5 - 2
May 22, 2022 Brentford vs Leeds 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Goals Scored (L5) +110.0% more
Brentford: 21.0 vs Leeds: 10.0
Goals Conceded (L5) +300.0% more
Leeds: 1.0 vs Brentford: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
Brentford Score 2.0 1
Leeds United Score 2.0 1
AI Simulated Match Splits
3-Way Result Probability
Home Win: 39.6% Draw: 20.7% Away Win: 39.6%
Leeds United (Home) vs Brentford (Away)
Goals Expectation (O/U 2.5)
Over 2.5: 76.2% Under 2.5: 23.8%
Book Line: 2.5 Goals AI Predicted TTL: 4.00
Expected Goals (xG) Share
Leeds United Share: 50.0% Brentford Share: 50.0%
AI Projected Score 2.0 - 2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
Leeds United
Brentford
Leeds United
Brentford
ML
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
ATS
0% 0-1-1
100% 1-0-1
0% 0-1-1
0% 0-1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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