Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Prairie View @ Tarleton St PV @ TAR

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PRAIRIE VIEWPV

2-4  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 9:00 PM ET
Tarleton Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

TARLETON STATE

TARLETON STTAR

5-0  |  Home

49
Key Game
Marley Minerds
KEY GAME

Marley Minerds

#43 | Place kicker
@
Charlie Mullen
KEY GAME

Charlie Mullen

#83 | Punter
Player
Marley Minerds None-None
Charlie Mullen None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PRAIRIE VIEW
7%
đź“Š
TARLETON ST
93%
PRAIRIE VIEW --
TARLETON ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
TARLETON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +27.0 points (Tarleton State)
Prairie ViewPV (-3.5) 0 Tarleton StTAR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Prairie View Cover

2.7%

Tarleton St Cover

97.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TAR -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TAR)

PV By 1-6 points

1.6%

PV By 7-13 points

0.6%

TAR By 1-6 points

4.2%

TAR By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
10.6
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
37.6
TARLETON STATE
Simulated Score
10.6
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
37.6
TARLETON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Tarleton St Win
93% Win Prob
A
Sim Tarleton St Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Tarleton St (-19.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
A
Sim Tarleton St (-19.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u54.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.2
A
Sim u54.5 Loss
Proj Total: 48.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 PV @ TAR 30 - 49
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +111.2% more
Tarleton State: 152.3 vs Prairie View A&M: 72.1
Total Yards (L5) +64.9% more
Tarleton State: 328.5 vs Prairie View A&M: 199.2
First Downs (L5) +38.1% more
Tarleton State: 16.3 vs Prairie View A&M: 11.8
Turnovers (L5) +35.0% more
Tarleton State: 1.3 vs Prairie View A&M: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 10.6 30
TAR Score 37.6 49
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TAR
PV
TAR
PV
ML
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
ATS
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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