ALABAMA A&M
ALABAMA A&MAAMU
0-1 | Road
31
HOWARD
HOWARDHOW
1-0 | Home
24
AI Model Win Probability
ALABAMA A&M
10%
HOWARD
90%
ALABAMA A&M
--
HOWARD
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.3
HOWARD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +23.3 points (Howard)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HOW -23.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOW)
AAMU By 1-6 points
2.8%
AAMU By 7-13 points
1.2%
HOW By 1-6 points
6.3%
HOW By 7-13 points
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Alabama A&M
12.3
ALABAMA A&M
Howard
35.6
HOWARD
Simulated Score
Alabama A&M
12.3
ALABAMA A&M
Howard
35.6
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Howard
Loss
90% Win Prob
B
Sim
Howard
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Howard (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.3
B
Sim
Howard (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -23.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o46.5
Win
Proj Total: 47.9
B
Sim
o46.5
Win
Proj Total: 47.9
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
AAMU @ HOW
31 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+82.9% more
Howard: 132.7
vs
Alabama A&M: 72.5
Turnovers (L5)
+18.0% more
Howard: 1.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 1.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5)
+17.0% more
Howard: 0.4
vs
Alabama A&M: 0.2
Total Yards (L5)
+9.6% more
Howard: 275.6
vs
Alabama A&M: 251.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score
12.3
31
HOW Score
35.6
24
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
AAMU
HOW
AAMU
ML
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
ATS
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
TTL
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
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