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EAST TEXAS A&M

EAST TEXAS A&METAM

0-1  |  Road

15
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Five Star Stadium
View Odds Details →

MERCER

MERCERMER

1-0  |  Home

23
AI Model Win Probability
EAST TEXAS A&M
14%
📊
MERCER
86%
EAST TEXAS A&M --
MERCER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+19.6
EAST TEXAS A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
East Texas A&METAM (-3.5) 0 MercerMER (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

East Texas A&M Cover

91.9%

Mercer Cover

8.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ETAM +19.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETAM)

ETAM By 1-6 points

4.4%

ETAM By 7-13 points

2.2%

MER By 1-6 points

8.8%

MER By 7-13 points

15.7%

AI Model Projected Score
14.3
EAST TEXAS A&M
33.9
MERCER
Simulated Score
14.3
EAST TEXAS A&M
33.9
MERCER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mercer Win
86% Win Prob
B
Sim Mercer Win
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI East Texas A&M (-22.5) Win
Proj Spread: +19.6
B
Sim East Texas A&M (-22.5) Win
Proj Spread: +19.6
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u57.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.2
B
Sim u57.5 Win
Proj Total: 48.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 ETAM @ MER 15 - 23
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +29.4% more
East Texas A&M: 105.7 vs Mercer: 74.6
First Downs (L5) +21.8% more
East Texas A&M: 16.3 vs Mercer: 12.8
Total Yards (L5) +16.0% more
East Texas A&M: 268.1 vs Mercer: 225.2
Time of Possession (L5) +9.0% more
East Texas A&M: 0.6 vs Mercer: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score 14.3 15
MER Score 33.9 23
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MER
ETAM
MER
ETAM
ML
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
ATS
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
TTL
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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