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NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

NC CENTRALNCCU

2-4  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Shell Energy Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TEXAS SOUTHERNTXSO

1-4  |  Home

42
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Jake Marcantel

#40 | Long Snapper
@
Brian Mays
KEY GAME

Brian Mays

#50 | Place kicker
Player
Jake Marcantel None-None
Brian Mays None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NC CENTRAL
9%
📊
TEXAS SOUTHERN
91%
NC CENTRAL --
TEXAS SOUTHERN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.3
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–² Edge: +24.3 points (Texas Southern)
NC CentralNCCU (-3.5) 0 Texas SouthernTXSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

NC Central Cover

4.1%

Texas Southern Cover

95.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TXSO -24.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TXSO)

NCCU By 1-6 points

2.4%

NCCU By 7-13 points

1.0%

TXSO By 1-6 points

5.7%

TXSO By 7-13 points

11.8%

AI Model Projected Score
10.9
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
35.2
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
10.9
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
35.2
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Southern Win
91% Win Prob
A
Sim Texas Southern Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Texas Southern (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.3
A
Sim Texas Southern (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.1
A
Sim u51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.1
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 NCCU @ TXSO 30 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +25.7% more
Texas Southern: 101.6 vs North Carolina Central: 80.8
Total Yards (L5) +20.8% more
Texas Southern: 227.9 vs North Carolina Central: 188.7
First Downs (L5) +12.5% more
Texas Southern: 13.9 vs North Carolina Central: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +9.2% more
Texas Southern: 1.8 vs North Carolina Central: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 10.9 30
TXSO Score 35.2 42
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
NCCU
TXSO
NCCU
ML
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
ATS
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-3
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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