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NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

NC CENTRALNCCU

3-5  |  Road

30
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 7:00 PM ET
Shell Energy Stadium
View Odds Details →

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TEXAS SOUTHERNTXSO

2-5  |  Home

42
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Jake Marcantel

#40 | Long Snapper
@
Brian Mays
KEY GAME

Brian Mays

#50 | Place kicker
Player
Jake Marcantel None-None
Brian Mays None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NC CENTRAL
9%
đź“Š
TEXAS SOUTHERN
91%
NC CENTRAL --
TEXAS SOUTHERN --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.3
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +24.3 points (Texas Southern)
NC CentralNCCU (-3.5) 0 Texas SouthernTXSO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

NC Central Cover

4.1%

Texas Southern Cover

95.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TXSO -24.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TXSO)

NCCU By 1-6 points

2.4%

NCCU By 7-13 points

1.0%

TXSO By 1-6 points

5.7%

TXSO By 7-13 points

11.8%

AI Model Projected Score
10.9
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
35.2
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
10.9
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
35.2
TEXAS SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Texas Southern Win
91% Win Prob
A
Sim Texas Southern Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Texas Southern (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.3
A
Sim Texas Southern (+10.5) Win
Proj Spread: -24.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.1
A
Sim u51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.1
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 NCCU @ TXSO 30 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +25.7% more
Texas Southern: 101.6 vs North Carolina Central: 80.8
Total Yards (L5) +20.8% more
Texas Southern: 227.9 vs North Carolina Central: 188.7
First Downs (L5) +12.5% more
Texas Southern: 13.9 vs North Carolina Central: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +9.2% more
Texas Southern: 1.8 vs North Carolina Central: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NCCU Score 10.9 30
TXSO Score 35.2 42
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TXSO
NCCU
TXSO
NCCU
ML
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
ATS
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-3
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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