MONMOUTH
MONMOUTHMONM
0-1 | Road
14
TENNESSEE TECH
TENNESSEE TECHTNTC
1-0 | Home
38
AI Model Win Probability
MONMOUTH
51%
TENNESSEE TECH
49%
MONMOUTH
--
TENNESSEE TECH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
49.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
MONMOUTH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Monmouth)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MONM -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MONM)
MONM By 1-6 points
16.6%
MONM By 7-13 points
15.7%
TNTC By 1-6 points
16.3%
TNTC By 7-13 points
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
24.9
MONMOUTH
Tennessee Tech
24.5
TENNESSEE TECH
Simulated Score
Monmouth
24.9
MONMOUTH
Tennessee Tech
24.5
TENNESSEE TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Monmouth
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Monmouth
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Monmouth (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Monmouth (-8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.4
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
u58.5
Win
Proj Total: 49.4
B
Sim
u58.5
Win
Proj Total: 49.4
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
MONM @ TNTC
14 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5)
+40.9% more
Monmouth: 382.7
vs
Tennessee Tech: 226.3
Rushing Yards (L5)
+30.5% more
Monmouth: 131.4
vs
Tennessee Tech: 91.3
First Downs (L5)
+28.0% more
Monmouth: 20.5
vs
Tennessee Tech: 14.8
Turnovers (L5)
+11.1% more
Tennessee Tech: 1.5
vs
Monmouth: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
24.9
14
TNTC Score
24.5
38
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TNTC
MONM
TNTC
MONM
ML
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
ATS
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
TTL
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
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