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THE CITADEL

THE CITADELCIT

2-3  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Gibbs Stadium
View Odds Details →

WOFFORD

WOFFORDWOF

3-3  |  Home

42
Key Game
Jack Weil
KEY GAME

Jack Weil

#1 | Place kicker
@
Cillian Bonner
KEY GAME

Cillian Bonner

#36 | Place kicker
Player
Jack Weil None-None
Cillian Bonner None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
THE CITADEL
28%
đź“Š
WOFFORD
72%
THE CITADEL --
WOFFORD --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.7
WOFFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +10.7 points (Wofford)
The CitadelCIT (-3.5) 0 WoffordWOF (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

The Citadel Cover

22.2%

Wofford Cover

77.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WOF -10.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WOF)

CIT By 1-6 points

10.2%

CIT By 7-13 points

6.8%

WOF By 1-6 points

14.9%

WOF By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
15.7
THE CITADEL
26.4
WOFFORD
Simulated Score
15.7
THE CITADEL
26.4
WOFFORD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Wofford Win
72% Win Prob
A
Sim Wofford Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Wofford (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.7
A
Sim Wofford (-7.5) Win
Proj Spread: -10.7
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u45.5 Loss
Proj Total: 42.1
A
Sim u45.5 Loss
Proj Total: 42.1
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 CIT @ WOF 14 - 42
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +67.8% more
The Citadel: 223.9 vs Wofford: 72.2
Turnovers (L5) +51.3% more
The Citadel: 1.5 vs Wofford: 0.8
Total Yards (L5) +20.5% more
The Citadel: 281.2 vs Wofford: 223.6
Time of Possession (L5) +13.0% more
The Citadel: 0.6 vs Wofford: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CIT Score 15.7 14
WOF Score 26.4 42
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WOF
CIT
WOF
CIT
ML
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
ATS
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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