Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / VMI @ Idaho St VMI @ IDST

VMI

VMIVMI

0-6  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
ICCU Dome
View Odds Details →

IDAHO STATE

IDAHO STIDST

4-1  |  Home

38
Key Game
Ben Shrewsbury
KEY GAME

Ben Shrewsbury

#99 | Place kicker
@
👤
KEY GAME

Sam Buck

#48 | Punter
Player
Ben Shrewsbury None-None
Sam Buck None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VMI
4%
📊
IDAHO ST
96%
VMI --
IDAHO ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+32.2
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
VMIVMI (-3.5) 0 Idaho StIDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

VMI Cover

98.9%

Idaho St Cover

1.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VMI +32.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)

VMI By 1-6 points

0.7%

VMI By 7-13 points

0.2%

IDST By 1-6 points

2.1%

IDST By 7-13 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
12
VMI
44.2
IDAHO STATE
Simulated Score
12
VMI
44.2
IDAHO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Idaho St Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Idaho St Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI VMI (+34.5) Win
Proj Spread: +32.2
A
Sim VMI (+34.5) Win
Proj Spread: +32.2
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 56.2
A
Sim o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 56.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 VMI @ IDST 10 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +137.7% more
Idaho State: 106.0 vs VMI: 44.6
First Downs (L5) +129.1% more
Idaho State: 24.1 vs VMI: 10.5
Total Yards (L5) +114.1% more
Idaho State: 408.1 vs VMI: 190.6
Turnovers (L5) +90.9% more
Idaho State: 2.7 vs VMI: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VMI Score 12.0 10
IDST Score 44.2 38
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDST
VMI
IDST
VMI
ML
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
ATS
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Hurricane Isaias Puts Bengals-Dolphins Clash on Weather Watch
yahoo 2 hours, 44 minutes ago
Joe Burrow Cleared to Start for Bengals in Week 2; Tua Tagovailo…
yahoo 2 weeks, 4 days ago
WMU Coach Earns National Honor Following Heartbreaking Loss to M…
yahoo 1 month ago
FSU's Norvell Buyout: A $46.7M Question Amidst Turbulent Tenure
yahoo 1 month ago
UNC Football GM Resigns Amid Investigation; Steve Belichick Unde…
si 1 month ago