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VMI

VMIVMI

0-1  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
ICCU Dome
View Odds Details →

IDAHO STATE

IDAHO STIDST

1-0  |  Home

38
AI Model Win Probability
VMI
4%
📊
IDAHO ST
96%
VMI --
IDAHO ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
56.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+32.2
VMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
VMIVMI (-3.5) 0 Idaho StIDST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

VMI Cover

98.9%

Idaho St Cover

1.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around VMI +32.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VMI)

VMI By 1-6 points

0.7%

VMI By 7-13 points

0.2%

IDST By 1-6 points

2.1%

IDST By 7-13 points

5.8%

AI Model Projected Score
12
VMI
44.2
IDAHO STATE
Simulated Score
12
VMI
44.2
IDAHO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Idaho St Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Idaho St Win
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI VMI (-34.5) Win
Proj Spread: +32.2
A
Sim VMI (-34.5) Win
Proj Spread: +32.2
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 56.2
A
Sim o53.5 Win
Proj Total: 56.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 VMI @ IDST 10 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +137.7% more
Idaho State: 106.0 vs VMI: 44.6
First Downs (L5) +129.1% more
Idaho State: 24.1 vs VMI: 10.5
Total Yards (L5) +114.1% more
Idaho State: 408.1 vs VMI: 190.6
Turnovers (L5) +90.9% more
Idaho State: 2.7 vs VMI: 1.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VMI Score 12.0 10
IDST Score 44.2 38
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IDST
VMI
IDST
VMI
ML
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
ATS
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
TTL
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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