Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Bucknell @ Richmond BUCK @ RICH

BUCKNELL

BUCKNELLBUCK

1-4  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Robins Stadium
View Odds Details →

RICHMOND

RICHMONDRICH

5-1  |  Home

35
Key Game
Juan Garanton
KEY GAME

Juan Garanton

#17 | Place kicker
@
Ned Gray
KEY GAME

Ned Gray

#37 | Punter
Player
Juan Garanton None-None
Ned Gray None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKNELL
9%
đź“Š
RICHMOND
91%
BUCKNELL --
RICHMOND --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-23.8
RICHMOND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +23.8 points (Richmond)
BucknellBUCK (-3.5) 0 RichmondRICH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bucknell Cover

4.5%

Richmond Cover

95.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around RICH -23.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICH)

BUCK By 1-6 points

2.6%

BUCK By 7-13 points

1.1%

RICH By 1-6 points

6.0%

RICH By 7-13 points

12.3%

AI Model Projected Score
11.7
BUCKNELL
35.5
RICHMOND
Simulated Score
11.7
BUCKNELL
35.5
RICHMOND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Richmond Win
91% Win Prob
A
Sim Richmond Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Richmond (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.8
A
Sim Richmond (-12.5) Win
Proj Spread: -23.8
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.2
A
Sim u48.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 BUCK @ RICH 14 - 35
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +63.8% more
Richmond: 130.2 vs Bucknell: 79.5
First Downs (L5) +20.1% more
Richmond: 14.8 vs Bucknell: 12.3
Turnovers (L5) +39.1% more
Bucknell: 1.5 vs Richmond: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score 11.7 14
RICH Score 35.5 35
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICH
BUCK
RICH
BUCK
ML
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
ATS
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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