Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / SE Missouri @ Indiana St SEMO @ INST

SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE

SE MISSOURISEMO

2-3  |  Road

23
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 6:00 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Terre Haute, IN)
View Odds Details →

INDIANA STATE

INDIANA STINST

2-4  |  Home

21
Key Game
Teagan Cobb
KEY GAME

Teagan Cobb

#30 | Punter
@
👤
KEY GAME

Orlando Gonzalez

#34 | Linebacker
Player
Teagan Cobb None-None
Orlando Gonzalez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SE MISSOURI
19%
đź“Š
INDIANA ST
81%
SE MISSOURI --
INDIANA ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.1
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +16.1 points (Indiana State)
SE MissouriSEMO (-3.5) 0 Indiana StINST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

SE Missouri Cover

12.5%

Indiana St Cover

87.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around INST -16.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

SEMO By 1-6 points

6.5%

SEMO By 7-13 points

3.6%

INST By 1-6 points

11.4%

INST By 7-13 points

18.0%

AI Model Projected Score
15.2
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
31.3
INDIANA STATE
Simulated Score
15.2
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
31.3
INDIANA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Indiana St Loss
81% Win Prob
A
Sim Indiana St Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Indiana St (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.1
A
Sim Indiana St (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.1
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u52.5 Win
Proj Total: 46.5
A
Sim u52.5 Win
Proj Total: 46.5
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 SEMO @ INST 23 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +55.0% more
Indiana State: 1.3 vs Southeast Missouri State: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +15.5% more
Indiana State: 93.4 vs Southeast Missouri State: 80.9
Total Yards (L5) +36.0% more
Southeast Missouri State: 293.6 vs Indiana State: 187.8
First Downs (L5) +22.4% more
Southeast Missouri State: 14.4 vs Indiana State: 11.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score 15.2 23
INST Score 31.3 21
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
INST
SEMO
INST
SEMO
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Arizona's Fifita Brings Heisman Hype to Morgantown as WVU Defens…
theintermountain 0 minutes ago
Buckeyes' Banged-Up Roster Opens Door for Breakout Stars Against…
si 2 hours, 40 minutes ago
Bryce Young Returns to Tuscaloosa as ESPN College GameDay Guest …
yahoo 8 hours, 29 minutes ago
Stephen A. Smith Highlights Kirby Smart's 2-7 Record Against Ala…
newsweek 8 hours, 33 minutes ago
Oklahoma's QB Dilemma: John Mateer on Shaky Ground as Texas Show…
si 1 day, 2 hours ago