Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Campbell @ ETSU CAM @ ETSU

CAMPBELL

CAMPBELLCAM

5-1  |  Road

49
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 5:30 PM ET
William B. Greene Jr. Stadium
View Odds Details →

EAST TENNESSEE STATE

ETSUETSU

4-2  |  Home

37
Key Game
Brandon Bowman
KEY GAME

Brandon Bowman

#30 | Punter
@
Luke Stewart
KEY GAME

Luke Stewart

#44 | Punter
Player
Brandon Bowman None-None
Luke Stewart None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
CAMPBELL
18%
đź“Š
ETSU
82%
CAMPBELL --
ETSU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
45.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.2
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +16.2 points (East Tennessee State)
CampbellCAM (-3.5) 0 ETSUETSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Campbell Cover

12.4%

ETSU Cover

87.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ETSU -16.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ETSU)

CAM By 1-6 points

6.4%

CAM By 7-13 points

3.6%

ETSU By 1-6 points

11.3%

ETSU By 7-13 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
14.4
CAMPBELL
30.6
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Simulated Score
14.4
CAMPBELL
30.6
EAST TENNESSEE STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI ETSU Loss
82% Win Prob
A
Sim ETSU Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI ETSU (-7) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.2
A
Sim ETSU (-7) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.2
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
A
Sim u56.5 Loss
Proj Total: 45.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 CAM @ ETSU 49 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +79.3% more
East Tennessee State: 133.6 vs Campbell: 74.5
First Downs (L5) +21.9% more
Campbell: 16.2 vs East Tennessee State: 12.6
Total Yards (L5) +9.3% more
Campbell: 262.0 vs East Tennessee State: 237.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAM Score 14.4 49
ETSU Score 30.6 37
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ETSU
CAM
ETSU
CAM
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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