Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / E Washington @ N Arizona EWU @ NAU

EASTERN WASHINGTON

E WASHINGTONEWU

1-5  |  Road

27
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 5:00 PM ET
J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN ARIZONA

N ARIZONANAU

4-2  |  Home

34
Key Game
Luke Faccone
KEY GAME

Luke Faccone

#97 | Punter
@
Tyler Manship
KEY GAME

Tyler Manship

#37 | Punter
Player
Luke Faccone None-None
Tyler Manship None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
E WASHINGTON
47%
📊
N ARIZONA
53%
E WASHINGTON --
N ARIZONA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.3
EASTERN WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
E WashingtonEWU (-3.5) 0 N ArizonaNAU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

E Washington Cover

53.7%

N Arizona Cover

46.3%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around EWU +1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EWU)

EWU By 1-6 points

16.0%

EWU By 7-13 points

14.3%

NAU By 1-6 points

16.8%

NAU By 7-13 points

16.3%

AI Model Projected Score
21
EASTERN WASHINGTON
22.3
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Simulated Score
21
EASTERN WASHINGTON
22.3
NORTHERN ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI N Arizona Win
53% Win Prob
D
Sim N Arizona Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI E Washington (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +1.3
D
Sim E Washington (+5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +1.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.3
A
Sim u55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.3
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 EWU @ NAU 27 - 34
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +38.9% more
Eastern Washington: 138.1 vs Northern Arizona: 84.5
Total Yards (L5) +31.5% more
Eastern Washington: 358.7 vs Northern Arizona: 245.8
First Downs (L5) +30.0% more
Eastern Washington: 21.3 vs Northern Arizona: 14.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +10.0% more
Eastern Washington: 0.4 vs Northern Arizona: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
EWU Score 21.0 27
NAU Score 22.3 34
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NAU
EWU
NAU
EWU
ML
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
ATS
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
TTL
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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