UC DAVIS
UC DAVISUCD
1-0 | Road
31
PORTLAND STATE
PORTLAND STPRST
0-1 | Home
24
AI Model Win Probability
UC DAVIS
20%
PORTLAND ST
80%
UC DAVIS
--
PORTLAND ST
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.6
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.6 points (Portland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PRST -15.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)
UCD By 1-6 points
6.8%
UCD By 7-13 points
3.8%
PRST By 1-6 points
11.7%
PRST By 7-13 points
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
UC Davis
15.4
UC DAVIS
Portland State
31
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
UC Davis
15.4
UC DAVIS
Portland State
31
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Portland St
Loss
80% Win Prob
C
Sim
Portland St
Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Portland St (+25.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.6
C
Sim
Portland St (+25.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.6
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u60.5
Win
Proj Total: 46.4
C
Sim
u60.5
Win
Proj Total: 46.4
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
UCD @ PRST
31 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+10.9% more
Portland State: 94.6
vs
UC Davis: 85.3
Turnovers (L5)
+52.7% more
UC Davis: 2.0
vs
Portland State: 1.0
First Downs (L5)
+35.3% more
UC Davis: 18.2
vs
Portland State: 11.7
Total Yards (L5)
+23.4% more
UC Davis: 301.9
vs
Portland State: 231.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UCD Score
15.4
31
PRST Score
31.0
24
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
UCD
PRST
UCD
ML
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
ATS
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
TTL
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
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