Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / UC Davis @ Portland St UCD @ PRST

UC DAVIS

UC DAVISUCD

4-2  |  Road

31
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 3:00 PM ET
Hillsboro Stadium
View Odds Details →

PORTLAND STATE

PORTLAND STPRST

1-4  |  Home

24
Key Game
Dylan Mauro
KEY GAME

Dylan Mauro

#36 | Punter
@
👤
KEY GAME

Emiliano Rodriguez

#88 | Punter
Player
Dylan Mauro None-None
Emiliano Rodriguez None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
UC DAVIS
20%
đź“Š
PORTLAND ST
80%
UC DAVIS --
PORTLAND ST --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.6
PORTLAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +15.6 points (Portland State)
UC DavisUCD (-3.5) 0 Portland StPRST (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

UC Davis Cover

13.3%

Portland St Cover

86.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PRST -15.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PRST)

UCD By 1-6 points

6.8%

UCD By 7-13 points

3.8%

PRST By 1-6 points

11.7%

PRST By 7-13 points

18.3%

AI Model Projected Score
15.4
UC DAVIS
31
PORTLAND STATE
Simulated Score
15.4
UC DAVIS
31
PORTLAND STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Portland St Loss
80% Win Prob
A
Sim Portland St Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Portland St (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.6
A
Sim Portland St (+25.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.6
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u60.5 Win
Proj Total: 46.4
A
Sim u60.5 Win
Proj Total: 46.4
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 UCD @ PRST 31 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +10.9% more
Portland State: 94.6 vs UC Davis: 85.3
Turnovers (L5) +52.7% more
UC Davis: 2.0 vs Portland State: 1.0
First Downs (L5) +35.3% more
UC Davis: 18.2 vs Portland State: 11.7
Total Yards (L5) +23.4% more
UC Davis: 301.9 vs Portland State: 231.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UCD Score 15.4 31
PRST Score 31.0 24
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRST
UCD
PRST
UCD
ML
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
ATS
67% 2-1
100% 2-0
67% 2-1
50% 1-1
TTL
33% 1-2
100% 2-0
33% 1-2
50% 1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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