CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
C CONNECTICUTCCSU
1-3 | Road
20
SOUTH DAKOTA
SOUTH DAKOTASDAK
4-2 | Home
59
Key Game
KEY GAME
Colby Bernier
#93 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Brook Honore Jr.
#16 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Colby Bernier | None-None |
| Brook Honore Jr. | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
C CONNECTICUT
13%
SOUTH DAKOTA
87%
C CONNECTICUT
--
SOUTH DAKOTA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
44.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+20.3
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CCSU +20.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CCSU)
CCSU By 1-6 points
4.1%
CCSU By 7-13 points
2.0%
SDAK By 1-6 points
8.3%
SDAK By 7-13 points
15.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Central Connecticut
12
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
South Dakota
32.3
SOUTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
Central Connecticut
12
CENTRAL CONNECTICUT
South Dakota
32.3
SOUTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
South Dakota
Win
87% Win Prob
A
Sim
South Dakota
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
C Connecticut (+20.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +20.3
A
Sim
C Connecticut (+20.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: +20.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
u49.5
Loss
Proj Total: 44.3
A
Sim
u49.5
Loss
Proj Total: 44.3
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
CCSU @ SDAK
20 - 59
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5)
+18.6% more
South Dakota: 14.8
vs
Central Connecticut: 12.5
Total Yards (L5)
+8.2% more
South Dakota: 258.2
vs
Central Connecticut: 238.8
Turnovers (L5)
+61.7% more
Central Connecticut: 1.2
vs
South Dakota: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CCSU Score
12.0
20
SDAK Score
32.3
59
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SDAK
CCSU
SDAK
CCSU
ML
100%
2-0
100%
2-0
100%
2-0
100%
2-0
ATS
0%
0-2
0%
0-2
50%
1-1
0%
0-2
TTL
0%
0-2
50%
1-1
0%
0-2
50%
1-1
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