Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Robert Morris @ Wagner RMU @ WAG

ROBERT MORRIS

ROBERT MORRISRMU

3-2  |  Road

28
FINAL
Sat, Aug 29 • 12:00 PM ET
Hameline Field at Wagner College Stadium
View Odds Details →

WAGNER

WAGNERWAG

1-4  |  Home

7
Key Game
Bryson Costa
KEY GAME

Bryson Costa

#33 | Place kicker
@
Johnny DiSalvatore
KEY GAME

Johnny DiSalvatore

#43 | Place kicker
Player
Bryson Costa None-None
Johnny DiSalvatore None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
ROBERT MORRIS
14%
📊
WAGNER
86%
ROBERT MORRIS --
WAGNER --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.4
WAGNER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.4 points (Wagner)
Robert MorrisRMU (-3.5) 0 WagnerWAG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Robert Morris Cover

8.3%

Wagner Cover

91.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WAG -19.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WAG)

RMU By 1-6 points

4.5%

RMU By 7-13 points

2.3%

WAG By 1-6 points

9.0%

WAG By 7-13 points

15.8%

AI Model Projected Score
12
ROBERT MORRIS
31.4
WAGNER
Simulated Score
12
ROBERT MORRIS
31.4
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Wagner Loss
86% Win Prob
A
Sim Wagner Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Wagner (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.4
A
Sim Wagner (-5.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -19.4
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.4
A
Sim o40.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.4
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 29, 2026 RMU @ WAG 28 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +62.1% more
Robert Morris: 1.3 vs Wagner: 0.5
Total Yards (L5) +33.8% more
Robert Morris: 237.7 vs Wagner: 157.3
First Downs (L5) +22.3% more
Robert Morris: 11.6 vs Wagner: 9.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.2% more
Robert Morris: 96.5 vs Wagner: 76.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
RMU Score 12.0 28
WAG Score 31.4 7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
RMU
WAG
RMU
ML
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
TTL
67% 2-1
67% 2-1
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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