Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Idaho @ Cal Poly IDHO @ CP

IDAHO

IDAHOIDHO

1-4  |  Road

34
FINAL
Fri, Aug 28 • 10:00 PM ET
Mustang Memorial Field at Spanos Stadium
View Odds Details →

CAL POLY

CAL POLYCP

3-3  |  Home

38
Key Game
Cameron Pope
KEY GAME

Cameron Pope

#91 | Place kicker
@
Dean Scrivner
KEY GAME

Dean Scrivner

#41 | Punter
Player
Cameron Pope None-None
Dean Scrivner None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
IDAHO
25%
📊
CAL POLY
75%
IDAHO --
CAL POLY --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
CAL POLY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Cal Poly)
IdahoIDHO (-3.5) 0 Cal PolyCP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Idaho Cover

17.8%

Cal Poly Cover

82.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CP -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CP)

IDHO By 1-6 points

8.6%

IDHO By 7-13 points

5.3%

CP By 1-6 points

13.6%

CP By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
15.5
IDAHO
28.4
CAL POLY
Simulated Score
15.5
IDAHO
28.4
CAL POLY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Cal Poly Win
75% Win Prob
A
Sim Cal Poly Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Cal Poly (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
A
Sim Cal Poly (+5.5) Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.9
A
Sim u53.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.9
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 IDHO @ CP 34 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +25.5% more
Idaho: 130.5 vs Cal Poly: 97.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score 15.5 34
CP Score 28.4 38
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CP
IDHO
CP
IDHO
ML
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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