IDAHO
IDAHOIDHO
0-1 | Road
34
CAL POLY
CAL POLYCP
1-0 | Home
38
AI Model Win Probability
IDAHO
25%
CAL POLY
75%
IDAHO
--
CAL POLY
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
CAL POLY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Cal Poly)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around CP -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CP)
IDHO By 1-6 points
8.6%
IDHO By 7-13 points
5.3%
CP By 1-6 points
13.6%
CP By 7-13 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Idaho
15.5
IDAHO
Cal Poly
28.4
CAL POLY
Simulated Score
Idaho
15.5
IDAHO
Cal Poly
28.4
CAL POLY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cal Poly
Win
75% Win Prob
C
Sim
Cal Poly
Win
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cal Poly (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
C
Sim
Cal Poly (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u53.5
Loss
Proj Total: 43.9
C
Sim
u53.5
Win
Proj Total: 43.9
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 28, 2026
IDHO @ CP
34 - 38
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+25.5% more
Idaho: 130.5
vs
Cal Poly: 97.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IDHO Score
15.5
34
CP Score
28.4
38
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CP
IDHO
CP
IDHO
ML
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
ATS
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
TTL
0%
0-1
0%
0-1
100%
1-0
100%
1-0
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