Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Weber St @ N Colorado WEB @ UNCO

WEBER STATE

WEBER STWEB

5-4  |  Road

30
FINAL
Fri, Aug 28 • 9:00 PM ET
Nottingham Field
View Odds Details →

NORTHERN COLORADO

N COLORADOUNCO

3-6  |  Home

29
Key Game
David Dellenbach
KEY GAME

David Dellenbach

#99 | Place kicker
@
👤
KEY GAME

James Moore

#27 | Punter
Player
David Dellenbach None-None
James Moore None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WEBER ST
8%
📊
N COLORADO
92%
WEBER ST --
N COLORADO --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
47.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.8
NORTHERN COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.8 points (Northern Colorado)
Weber StWEB (-3.5) 0 N ColoradoUNCO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Weber St Cover

3.8%

N Colorado Cover

96.2%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UNCO -24.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNCO)

WEB By 1-6 points

2.3%

WEB By 7-13 points

1.0%

UNCO By 1-6 points

5.4%

UNCO By 7-13 points

11.4%

AI Model Projected Score
11.4
WEBER STATE
36.2
NORTHERN COLORADO
Simulated Score
11.4
WEBER STATE
36.2
NORTHERN COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI N Colorado Loss
92% Win Prob
A
Sim N Colorado Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI N Colorado (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.8
A
Sim N Colorado (-3) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.8
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.6
A
Sim u50.5 Loss
Proj Total: 47.6
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 WEB @ UNCO 30 - 29
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +42.1% more
Northern Colorado: 292.8 vs Weber State: 206.1
First Downs (L5) +22.6% more
Northern Colorado: 14.7 vs Weber State: 12.0
Turnovers (L5) +44.4% more
Weber State: 1.9 vs Northern Colorado: 1.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 11.4 30
UNCO Score 36.2 29
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNCO
WEB
UNCO
WEB
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
ATS
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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