Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / New Hampshire @ UAlbany UNH @ ALB

NEW HAMPSHIRE

NEW HAMPSHIREUNH

2-4  |  Road

14
FINAL
Fri, Aug 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Bob Ford Field at Tom & Mary Casey Stadium
View Odds Details →

UALBANY

UALBANYALB

3-3  |  Home

28
Key Game
Matt Guidebeck
KEY GAME

Matt Guidebeck

#47 | Punter
@
Kai Colon
KEY GAME

Kai Colon

#12 | Quarterback
Player
Matt Guidebeck None-None
Kai Colon None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NEW HAMPSHIRE
19%
đź“Š
UALBANY
81%
NEW HAMPSHIRE --
UALBANY --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.3
UALBANY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
â–˛ Edge: +16.3 points (UAlbany)
New HampshireUNH (-3.5) 0 UAlbanyALB (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

New Hampshire Cover

12.2%

UAlbany Cover

87.8%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around ALB -16.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALB)

UNH By 1-6 points

6.3%

UNH By 7-13 points

3.5%

ALB By 1-6 points

11.2%

ALB By 7-13 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
18
NEW HAMPSHIRE
34.3
UALBANY
Simulated Score
18
NEW HAMPSHIRE
34.3
UALBANY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI UAlbany Win
81% Win Prob
A
Sim UAlbany Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI UAlbany (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -16.3
A
Sim UAlbany (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -16.3
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI o46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.3
A
Sim o46.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.3
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 UNH @ ALB 14 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +21.2% more
UAlbany: 85.5 vs New Hampshire: 70.5
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +13.0% more
UAlbany: 0.4 vs New Hampshire: 0.2
First Downs (L5) +12.6% more
UAlbany: 16.8 vs New Hampshire: 14.9
Turnovers (L5) +63.4% more
New Hampshire: 2.2 vs UAlbany: 0.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNH Score 18.0 14
ALB Score 34.3 28
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ALB
UNH
ALB
UNH
ML
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
100% 2-0
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
TTL
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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