Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / William & Mary @ Villanova W&M @ VILL

WILLIAM & MARY

WILLIAM & MARYW&M

2-4  |  Road

35
FINAL
Fri, Aug 28 • 6:00 PM ET
Villanova Stadium
View Odds Details →

VILLANOVA

VILLANOVAVILL

2-4  |  Home

32
Key Game
Carter Boyd
KEY GAME

Carter Boyd

#94 | Punter
@
Tyler Womack
KEY GAME

Tyler Womack

#34 | Running Back
Player
Carter Boyd None-None
Tyler Womack None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
WILLIAM & MARY
34%
đź“Š
VILLANOVA
66%
WILLIAM & MARY --
VILLANOVA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.2
WILLIAM & MARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
William & MaryW&M (-3.5) 0 VillanovaVILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

William & Mary Cover

69.6%

Villanova Cover

30.4%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around W&M +7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (W&M)

W&M By 1-6 points

12.7%

W&M By 7-13 points

9.4%

VILL By 1-6 points

16.4%

VILL By 7-13 points

19.4%

AI Model Projected Score
17.5
WILLIAM & MARY
24.7
VILLANOVA
Simulated Score
17.5
WILLIAM & MARY
24.7
VILLANOVA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI Villanova Loss
66% Win Prob
B
Sim Villanova Loss
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI William & Mary (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +7.2
A
Sim William & Mary (+12.5) Win
Proj Spread: +7.2
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus đź‘‘ Top Selection
AI u47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 42.2
A
Sim u47.5 Loss
Proj Total: 42.2
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 28, 2026 W&M @ VILL 35 - 32
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +14.0% more
Villanova: 0.9 vs William & Mary: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +36.4% more
William & Mary: 152.9 vs Villanova: 97.2
Total Yards (L5) +14.0% more
William & Mary: 304.0 vs Villanova: 261.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
W&M Score 17.5 35
VILL Score 24.7 32
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VILL
W&M
VILL
W&M
ML
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
50% 1-1
TTL
50% 1-1
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Florida's Jon Sumrall Eyes Five-Star Flip as Gators Host Easton …
newsweek 1 day, 8 hours ago
Missouri Freshman Lineman Johnnie DJ Jones Awaits Heart Transpla…
news29 1 day, 20 hours ago
Louisville Visits NC State for First True Road Test of 2026
si 5 days, 8 hours ago
Penn State's Second Straight Loss Exposes Alarming Statistical T…
yahoo 5 days, 14 hours ago
Northwestern Opens $875M Ryan Field: A New Era for Wildcat Footb…
yahoo 6 days, 14 hours ago