Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Long Island @ North Dakota LIU @ UND

LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY

LONG ISLANDLIU

0-1  |  Road

21
FINAL
Thu, Aug 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Alerus Center
View Odds Details →

NORTH DAKOTA

NORTH DAKOTAUND

1-0  |  Home

42
AI Model Win Probability
LONG ISLAND
6%
📊
NORTH DAKOTA
94%
LONG ISLAND --
NORTH DAKOTA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
50.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.4
NORTH DAKOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.4 points (North Dakota)
Long IslandLIU (-3.5) 0 North DakotaUND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Long Island Cover

2.1%

North Dakota Cover

97.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around UND -28.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UND)

LIU By 1-6 points

1.3%

LIU By 7-13 points

0.5%

UND By 1-6 points

3.6%

UND By 7-13 points

8.5%

AI Model Projected Score
10.9
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
39.3
NORTH DAKOTA
Simulated Score
10.9
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
39.3
NORTH DAKOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI North Dakota Win
94% Win Prob
A
Sim North Dakota Win
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI North Dakota (-27.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -28.4
A
Sim North Dakota (-27.5) Win
Proj Spread: -28.4
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o44.5 Win
Proj Total: 50.2
A
Sim o44.5 Win
Proj Total: 50.2
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 27, 2026 LIU @ UND 21 - 42
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +120.3% more
North Dakota: 17.5 vs Long Island University: 7.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +96.4% more
North Dakota: 127.3 vs Long Island University: 64.8
Total Yards (L5) +91.1% more
North Dakota: 284.7 vs Long Island University: 149.0
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +23.0% more
North Dakota: 0.4 vs Long Island University: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LIU Score 10.9 21
UND Score 39.3 42
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIU
--
UND Advantage
1-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 26.0 ATS +/-: +19.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIU
--
UND Advantage
1-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 26.0 ATS +/-: +19.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LIU
--
UND
0-1-0
O: 0.0% / U: 100.0% Total +/-: -6.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UND
LIU
UND
LIU
ML
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
ATS
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
TTL
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Lambeau Field Showdown: Former Mentor and Protégé Square Off in …
wmtv15news 1 day, 2 hours ago
Hurricanes' Season Opener Injury Report: Two Key Players Ruled O…
miamiherald 1 day, 3 hours ago
Indiana Hoosiers Kick Off Title Defense Against North Texas in F…
si 1 day, 3 hours ago
Ole Miss vs. Louisville: Key Matchups to Watch in Week 1 Showdown
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Week 2 Illinois High School Football Player of the Week Ballot: …
si 1 day, 19 hours ago