Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Hou Christian @ SE Louisiana HCU @ SELA

HOUSTON CHRISTIAN

HOU CHRISTIANHCU

1-0  |  Road

34
FINAL
Thu, Aug 27 • 7:00 PM ET
Strawberry Stadium
View Odds Details →

SE LOUISIANA

SE LOUISIANASELA

0-1  |  Home

28
AI Model Win Probability
HOU CHRISTIAN
10%
📊
SE LOUISIANA
90%
HOU CHRISTIAN --
SE LOUISIANA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
46.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+23.1
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Hou ChristianHCU (-3.5) 0 SE LouisianaSELA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hou Christian Cover

95.1%

SE Louisiana Cover

4.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around HCU +23.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)

HCU By 1-6 points

2.9%

HCU By 7-13 points

1.3%

SELA By 1-6 points

6.5%

SELA By 7-13 points

12.9%

AI Model Projected Score
11.6
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
34.7
SE LOUISIANA
Simulated Score
11.6
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
34.7
SE LOUISIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI SE Louisiana Loss
90% Win Prob
B
Sim SE Louisiana Loss
65% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hou Christian (-24.5) Win
Proj Spread: +23.1
B
Sim Hou Christian (-24.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +23.1
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u51.5 Loss
Proj Total: 46.3
B
Sim u51.5 Win
Proj Total: 46.3
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 27, 2026 HCU @ SELA 34 - 28
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +68.8% more
SE Louisiana: 102.8 vs Houston Christian: 60.9
Turnovers (L5) +19.4% more
SE Louisiana: 2.3 vs Houston Christian: 1.9
Total Yards (L5) +17.6% more
SE Louisiana: 279.2 vs Houston Christian: 237.5
First Downs (L5) +16.0% more
SE Louisiana: 17.2 vs Houston Christian: 14.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HCU Score 11.6 34
SELA Score 34.7 28
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SELA
HCU
SELA
HCU
ML
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
ATS
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
TTL
0% 0-1
0% 0-1
100% 1-0
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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